Basketball · Uruguay Liga Women · 13/07, 00:00
Prediction: Aguada (W) vs Lagomar (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
143Total
Aguada (W)75.8
Lagomar (W)67.2
1X2
Aguada (W)
Lagomar (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Aguada (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Lagomar (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aguada (W)
3–3
Lagomar (W)
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points143Aguada (W) 75.8 · Lagomar (W) 67.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aguada (W) (rating 1546 vs 1463).
- Aguada (W) is a clear favourite (73% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Aguada (W) | Lagomar (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 76.3 / 68 | 55.9 / 59.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74 / 70.2 | 53.2 / 65.8 |
| Est. result | 76 | 67 |
Est. total143
Line O/U131
Diff.12
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aguada (W) 3–0–3 Lagomar (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 Uruguay Liga Women | Lagomar (W) | 57-64 | Aguada (W) |
| 04/05/26 Uruguay Liga Women | Aguada (W) | 72-60 | Lagomar (W) |
| 18/09/25 Uruguay Liga Women | Lagomar (W) | 57-54 | Aguada (W) |
| 14/09/25 Uruguay Liga Women | Aguada (W) | 57-81 | Lagomar (W) |
| 31/08/25 Uruguay Liga Women | Aguada (W) | 45-69 | Lagomar (W) |
| 21/07/25 Uruguay Liga Women | Lagomar (W) | 57-64 | Aguada (W) |
Standings · Uruguay Liga Women · LFB, Women 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malvin (W) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 413 | 327 | 12 |
| 2 | Defensor Sporting (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 374 | 321 | 9 |
| 3 | Club Yale Women | 6 | 2 | 4 | 349 | 429 | 8 |
| 4 | Aguada (W) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 370 | 351 | 7 |
| 5 | Lagomar (W) | 6 | 0 | 6 | 318 | 396 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aguada (W) | Lagomar (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Club Yale Women | 95-54 W | 45-52 L |
| Malvin (W) | 59-67 L | 53-64 L |
| Defensor Sporting (W) | 85-97 L | 62-84 L |
| Tabare (W) | 68-60 W | 56-44 W |
| 25 de Agosto (W) | 71-61 W | 70-44 W |
| Urunday Universitario (W) | 79-74 W | 70-56 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aguada (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Club Yale Women Uruguay Liga Women |
95-54 | W |
| 28/06 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
59-67 | L |
| 21/06 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
85-97 | L |
| 18/06 | Lagomar (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
64-57 | W |
| 15/06 | Club Yale Women Uruguay Liga Women |
67-76 | L |
| 27/05 | Cordon (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
82-71 | W |
| 21/05 | Club Yale Women Uruguay Liga Women |
93-63 | W |
| 18/05 | Tabare (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
68-60 | W |
| 14/05 | 25 de Agosto (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
71-61 | W |
| 11/05 | Urunday Universitario (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
79-74 | W |
Lagomar (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
53-64 | L |
| 05/07 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
62-84 | L |
| 21/06 | Club Yale Women Uruguay Liga Women |
45-52 | L |
| 18/06 | Aguada (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
57-64 | L |
| 14/06 | Malvin (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
49-65 | L |
| 08/06 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
52-67 | L |
| 01/06 | Club Yale Women Uruguay Liga Women |
45-55 | L |
| 28/05 | Tabare (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
56-44 | W |
| 21/05 | 25 de Agosto (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
70-44 | W |
| 18/05 | Urunday Universitario (W) Uruguay Liga Women |
70-56 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aguada (W) vs Lagomar (W)?
Our model gives 73% to Aguada (W).
How many points are expected in Aguada (W) vs Lagomar (W)?
The model estimates 143 total points (Aguada (W) 75.8 · Lagomar (W) 67.2).