Basketball · BNXT League · 09/10, 20:00

Prediction: Den Bosch vs Rotterdam City

Team pages: Den Bosch · Rotterdam City

Prediction summary

Estimated points

164.1Total

Den Bosch89

Rotterdam City75.1

1X2

84% 16%

Den Bosch Rotterdam City

Recent form · 10 last

Den Bosch 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLLWL

Rotterdam City 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Den Bosch 2–0 Rotterdam City (2 last)

Den Bosch112-74Rotterdam City
Rotterdam City71-74Den Bosch

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Den Bosch 1452 · Rotterdam City 1385

	Den Bosch	Rotterdam City
Our model	71%	29%
Market	87%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 164.1 points · Bet365 line 155.5 · +8.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points164.1Den Bosch 89 · Rotterdam City 75.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Den Bosch (rating 1452 vs 1385).
Den Bosch is a clear favourite (84% market).
H2H favours Den Bosch: 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Den Bosch	Rotterdam City
Points F\|A (Last 10)	78.7 / 79.7	78.5 / 92.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	77.2 / 79.2	75.6 / 89.6
Est. result	89	75

Est. total164.1

Line O/U155.5

Diff.8.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.08

27.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-14.5)1.83

2 (+14.5)1.83

Line ⓘ

Over 155.51.83

Under 155.51.83

Diff.: 9 · Est. total: 164.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.08 → 1.08	Bet365 1.08
2	7.25 → 7.25	Bet365 7.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 12.2%

Time*	1	2
13:46 +5’	1.08	7.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	2
20:09 +46’	1.05	5.79
06:22 +27’	1.05▲	5.78▼
10:16 +38’	1.05▲	5.74▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Den Bosch 2–0–0 Rotterdam City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 BNXT League	Den Bosch	112-74	Rotterdam City
13/03/26 BNXT League	Rotterdam City	71-74	Den Bosch

Standings · BNXT League

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Antwerp Giants	1	1	0	100	63
2	Brussels Basketball	1	1	0	94	70
3	Donar Groningen	2	2	0	166	154
4	Landstede Zwolle	1	1	0	70	59
5	Kangoeroes Basket	1	1	0	109	100
6	Okapi Aalst	1	1	0	95	87
7	ZZ Leiden	1	1	0	76	71
8	Leuven Bears	2	1	1	147	146
9	Spirou Charleroi	1	0	1	65	69
10	Rotterdam City	1	0	1	71	76
11	Oostende	1	0	1	87	95
12	Kortrijk Spurs	1	0	1	76	85
12	Limburg United	1	0	1	100	109
14	Den Bosch	1	0	1	59	70
15	CB Liege	1	0	1	70	94
16	Mons-Hainaut	1	0	1	63	100

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Den Bosch	Rotterdam City
Landstede Zwolle	59-70 L	78-101 L
ZZ Leiden	75-93 L	71-76 L
Donar Groningen	81-67 W	76-90 L
Leuven Bears	66-58 W	85-75 W
Okapi Aalst	103-107 L	92-102 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Den Bosch (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Den Bosch

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	Landstede Zwolle BNXT League	59-70	L
09/05	Mons-Hainaut BNXT League	107-57	W
06/05	Den Helder BNXT League	64-109	L
01/05	ZZ Leiden BNXT League	75-93	L
28/04	Donar Groningen BNXT League	81-67	W
24/04	Antwerp Giants BNXT League	72-83	L
19/04	Leuven Bears BNXT League	66-58	W
16/04	Leuven Bears BNXT League	85-88	L
11/04	Okapi Aalst BNXT League	103-107	L
03/04	LWD Basket BNXT League	75-65	W

Rotterdam City

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
02/10	ZZ Leiden BNXT League	71-76	L
09/05	Kangoeroes Basket BNXT League	73-97	L
06/05	Donar Groningen BNXT League	76-90	L
02/05	Okapi Aalst BNXT League	92-102	L
26/04	Brussels Basketball BNXT League	66-83	L
19/04	Limburg United BNXT League	89-119	L
17/04	Limburg United BNXT League	81-101	L
10/04	Leuven Bears BNXT League	85-75	W
06/04	Landstede Zwolle BNXT League	78-101	L
27/03	Kortrijk Spurs BNXT League	74-77	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Den Bosch vs Rotterdam City?

Our model gives 84% to Den Bosch.

How many points are expected in Den Bosch vs Rotterdam City?

The model estimates 164.1 total points (Den Bosch 89 · Rotterdam City 75.1).