Basketball · Canada EBL · 18/07, 04:00
Prediction: Vancouver Bandits vs Montreal Alliance
Prediction summary
Estimated points
183.9Total
Vancouver Bandits95
Montreal Alliance88.9
1X2
Vancouver Bandits
Montreal Alliance
Recent form · 10 last
Vancouver Bandits
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Montreal Alliance
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vancouver Bandits
3–1
Montreal Alliance
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vancouver Bandits 1501 · Montreal Alliance 1502
| Vancouver Bandits | Montreal Alliance | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
183.9 points · Bet365 line 185.5 · -1.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points183.9Vancouver Bandits 95 · Montreal Alliance 88.9
Match keys
- Vancouver Bandits is a clear favourite (67% market).
- H2H favours Vancouver Bandits: 3-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Vancouver Bandits | Montreal Alliance | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 94.7 / 94.6 | 88.2 / 89.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 92.2 / 92 | 83.6 / 91.4 |
| Est. result | 95 | 89 |
Est. total183.9
Line O/U185.5
Diff.1.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver Bandits 3–0–1 Montreal Alliance
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/25 Canada EBL | Montreal Alliance | 87-94 | Vancouver Bandits |
| 15/06/25 Canada EBL | Vancouver Bandits | 91-82 | Montreal Alliance |
| 28/07/24 Canada EBL | Montreal Alliance | 80-78 | Vancouver Bandits |
| 24/05/24 Canada EBL | Vancouver Bandits | 95-75 | Montreal Alliance |
Standings · Canada EBL · CEBL 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winnipeg Sea Bears | 18 | 12 | 6 | 1769 | 1602 | 0 |
| 2 | Vancouver Bandits | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1784 | 1707 | 0 |
| 3 | Saskatoon Mamba | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1615 | 1687 | 0 |
| 4 | Edmonton Stingers | 18 | 7 | 11 | 1672 | 1734 | 0 |
| 5 | Calgary Surge | 17 | 4 | 13 | 1508 | 1609 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vancouver Bandits | Montreal Alliance |
|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Stingers | 112-94 W | 95-76 W |
| Calgary Surge | 80-95 L | 93-88 W |
| Brampton Honey Badgers | 102-81 W | 92-86 W |
| Scarborough Shooting Stars | 105-108 L | 84-97 L |
| Ottawa BlackJacks | 104-95 W | 77-104 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Vancouver Bandits (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vancouver Bandits
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Edmonton Stingers Canada EBL |
112-94 | W |
| 10/07 | Calgary Surge Canada EBL |
80-95 | L |
| 08/07 | Saskatoon Mamba Canada EBL |
92-85 | W |
| 05/07 | Calgary Surge Canada EBL |
84-92 | L |
| 04/07 | Edmonton Stingers Canada EBL |
93-94 | L |
| 28/06 | Winnipeg Sea Bears Canada EBL |
94-88 | W |
| 21/06 | Brampton Honey Badgers Canada EBL |
102-81 | W |
| 19/06 | Winnipeg Sea Bears Canada EBL |
81-114 | L |
| 16/06 | Scarborough Shooting Stars Canada EBL |
105-108 | L |
| 14/06 | Ottawa BlackJacks Canada EBL |
104-95 | W |
Montreal Alliance
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Niagara River Lions Canada EBL |
87-90 | L |
| 11/07 | Brampton Honey Badgers Canada EBL |
92-86 | W |
| 09/07 | Ottawa BlackJacks Canada EBL |
77-104 | L |
| 04/07 | Scarborough Shooting Stars Canada EBL |
84-97 | L |
| 01/07 | Scarborough Shooting Stars Canada EBL |
78-80 | L |
| 27/06 | Niagara River Lions Canada EBL |
96-86 | W |
| 21/06 | Calgary Surge Canada EBL |
93-88 | W |
| 18/06 | Edmonton Stingers Canada EBL |
95-76 | W |
| 14/06 | Niagara River Lions Canada EBL |
75-93 | L |
| 11/06 | Brampton Honey Badgers Canada EBL |
105-92 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vancouver Bandits vs Montreal Alliance?
Our model gives 67% to Vancouver Bandits.
How many points are expected in Vancouver Bandits vs Montreal Alliance?
The model estimates 183.9 total points (Vancouver Bandits 95 · Montreal Alliance 88.9).