Basketball · Canada EBL · 25/07, 01:30
Prediction: Scarborough Shooting Stars vs Niagara River Lions
Prediction summary
Estimated points
176.7Total
Scarborough Shooting Stars92.9
Niagara River Lions83.9
1X2
Scarborough Shooting Stars
Niagara River Lions
Recent form · 10 last
Scarborough Shooting Stars
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Niagara River Lions
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Scarborough Shooting Stars
3–3
Niagara River Lions
(6 last)
- Niagara River Lions98-89Scarborough Shooting Stars
- Scarborough Shooting Stars75-69Niagara River Lions
- Niagara River Lions93-104Scarborough Shooting Stars
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Scarborough Shooting Stars 1560 · Niagara River Lions 1460
| Scarborough Shooting Stars | Niagara River Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 74% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
176.7 points · Bet365 line 183.5 · -6.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points176.7Scarborough Shooting Stars 92.9 · Niagara River Lions 83.9
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Scarborough Shooting Stars (rating 1560 vs 1460).
- Scarborough Shooting Stars is a clear favourite (74% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Scarborough Shooting Stars | Niagara River Lions | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 91.7 / 88.6 | 84.7 / 90.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 99.4 / 99.6 | 93.8 / 89.8 |
| Est. result | 93 | 84 |
Est. total176.7
Line O/U183.5
Diff.6.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Scarborough Shooting Stars 3–0–3 Niagara River Lions
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Canada EBL | Niagara River Lions | 98-89 | Scarborough Shooting Stars |
| 21/06/26 Canada EBL | Scarborough Shooting Stars | 75-69 | Niagara River Lions |
| 11/06/26 Canada EBL | Niagara River Lions | 93-104 | Scarborough Shooting Stars |
| 23/08/25 Canada EBL | Niagara River Lions | 93-91 | Scarborough Shooting Stars |
| 03/08/25 Canada EBL | Scarborough Shooting Stars | 81-64 | Niagara River Lions |
| 20/07/25 Canada EBL | Niagara River Lions | 96-81 | Scarborough Shooting Stars |
Standings · Canada EBL · CEBL 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scarborough Shooting Stars | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1923 | 1807 | 0 |
| 2 | Brampton Honey Badgers | 19 | 9 | 10 | 1687 | 1732 | 0 |
| 3 | Ottawa BlackJacks | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1858 | 1860 | 0 |
| 4 | Niagara River Lions | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1752 | 1807 | 0 |
| 5 | Montreal Alliance | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1736 | 1800 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Scarborough Shooting Stars | Niagara River Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Ottawa BlackJacks | 113-106 W | 77-86 L |
| Edmonton Stingers | 107-97 W | 91-102 L |
| Brampton Honey Badgers | 99-95 W | 99-90 W |
| Montreal Alliance | 97-84 W | 90-87 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Scarborough Shooting Stars (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Scarborough Shooting Stars
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Ottawa BlackJacks Canada EBL |
113-106 | W |
| 19/07 | Ottawa BlackJacks Canada EBL |
89-102 | L |
| 17/07 | Edmonton Stingers Canada EBL |
107-97 | W |
| 11/07 | Niagara River Lions Canada EBL |
89-98 | L |
| 05/07 | Brampton Honey Badgers Canada EBL |
99-95 | W |
| 04/07 | Montreal Alliance Canada EBL |
97-84 | W |
| 01/07 | Montreal Alliance Canada EBL |
80-78 | W |
| 28/06 | Brampton Honey Badgers Canada EBL |
82-69 | W |
| 24/06 | Ottawa BlackJacks Canada EBL |
86-88 | L |
| 21/06 | Niagara River Lions Canada EBL |
75-69 | W |
Niagara River Lions
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Edmonton Stingers Canada EBL |
91-102 | L |
| 17/07 | Brampton Honey Badgers Canada EBL |
99-90 | W |
| 14/07 | Brampton Honey Badgers Canada EBL |
91-81 | W |
| 12/07 | Montreal Alliance Canada EBL |
90-87 | W |
| 11/07 | Scarborough Shooting Stars Canada EBL |
98-89 | W |
| 05/07 | Ottawa BlackJacks Canada EBL |
77-86 | L |
| 28/06 | Ottawa BlackJacks Canada EBL |
69-92 | L |
| 27/06 | Montreal Alliance Canada EBL |
86-96 | L |
| 21/06 | Scarborough Shooting Stars Canada EBL |
69-75 | L |
| 19/06 | Saskatoon Mamba Canada EBL |
77-104 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Scarborough Shooting Stars vs Niagara River Lions?
Our model gives 74% to Scarborough Shooting Stars.
How many points are expected in Scarborough Shooting Stars vs Niagara River Lions?
The model estimates 176.7 total points (Scarborough Shooting Stars 92.9 · Niagara River Lions 83.9).