Basketball · Canada EBL · 25/07, 01:30

Prediction: Montreal Alliance vs Ottawa BlackJacks

Prediction summary
Estimated points
180Total
Montreal Alliance91.3
Ottawa BlackJacks88.8
1X2 Even — no clear favourite
57% 43%
Montreal Alliance Ottawa BlackJacks

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last
Montreal Alliance 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WWWLLLWLLL
Ottawa BlackJacks 5-0-5 (W-D-L)
LLWWLWWLWL
Head-to-head
Montreal Alliance 2–4 Ottawa BlackJacks (6 last)
  • Ottawa BlackJacks104-77Montreal Alliance
  • Montreal Alliance79-90Ottawa BlackJacks
  • Ottawa BlackJacks87-96Montreal Alliance
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montreal Alliance 1480 · Ottawa BlackJacks 1504
Montreal AllianceOttawa BlackJacks
Our model59%41%
Market56%44%
Estimated total (ours) 180 points · Bet365 line 181.5 · -1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Estimated points180Montreal Alliance 91.3 · Ottawa BlackJacks 88.8

Match keys

  • H2H favours Ottawa BlackJacks: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

Montreal AllianceOttawa BlackJacks
Points F|A (Last 10)87.4 / 90.993 / 90.6
Points F|A (Last 5)85.6 / 96.499.2 / 92.2
Est. result9189
Est. total180
Line O/U181.5
Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Montreal Alliance 204 Ottawa BlackJacks

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/07/26
Canada EBL
Ottawa BlackJacks104-77Montreal Alliance
31/05/26
Canada EBL
Montreal Alliance79-90Ottawa BlackJacks
24/05/26
Canada EBL
Ottawa BlackJacks87-96Montreal Alliance
09/08/25
Canada EBL
Ottawa BlackJacks98-92Montreal Alliance
24/07/25
Canada EBL
Montreal Alliance87-79Ottawa BlackJacks
28/06/25
Canada EBL
Ottawa BlackJacks90-77Montreal Alliance

Standings · Canada EBL · CEBL 2026, Eastern Conference

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Scarborough Shooting Stars 20164 192318070
2 Brampton Honey Badgers 19910 168717320
3 Ottawa BlackJacks 20911 185818600
4 Niagara River Lions 20911 175218070
5 Montreal Alliance 20812 173618000

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMontreal AllianceOttawa BlackJacks
Niagara River Lions 87-90 L 86-77 W
Brampton Honey Badgers 92-86 W 98-105 L
Scarborough Shooting Stars 84-97 L 106-113 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ottawa BlackJacks (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montreal Alliance

WWWLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
20/07 Winnipeg Sea Bears
Canada EBL
80-109 L
18/07 Vancouver Bandits
Canada EBL
92-93 L
12/07 Niagara River Lions
Canada EBL
87-90 L
11/07 Brampton Honey Badgers
Canada EBL
92-86 W
09/07 Ottawa BlackJacks
Canada EBL
77-104 L
04/07 Scarborough Shooting Stars
Canada EBL
84-97 L
01/07 Scarborough Shooting Stars
Canada EBL
78-80 L
27/06 Niagara River Lions
Canada EBL
96-86 W
21/06 Calgary Surge
Canada EBL
93-88 W
18/06 Edmonton Stingers
Canada EBL
95-76 W

Ottawa BlackJacks

LLWWLWWLWL

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Date Opponent FT Res.
23/07 Scarborough Shooting Stars
Canada EBL
106-113 L
19/07 Scarborough Shooting Stars
Canada EBL
102-89 W
12/07 Brampton Honey Badgers
Canada EBL
98-105 L
09/07 Montreal Alliance
Canada EBL
104-77 W
05/07 Niagara River Lions
Canada EBL
86-77 W
03/07 Brampton Honey Badgers
Canada EBL
76-81 L
28/06 Niagara River Lions
Canada EBL
92-69 W
24/06 Scarborough Shooting Stars
Canada EBL
88-86 W
22/06 Saskatoon Mamba
Canada EBL
98-101 L
20/06 Scarborough Shooting Stars
Canada EBL
80-108 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montreal Alliance vs Ottawa BlackJacks?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Montreal Alliance 57% · Ottawa BlackJacks 43%).

How many points are expected in Montreal Alliance vs Ottawa BlackJacks?

The model estimates 180 total points (Montreal Alliance 91.3 · Ottawa BlackJacks 88.8).