Basketball · Australia NBL1 North · 18/07, 11:00
Prediction: South West Metro Pirates vs Mackay Meteors
Prediction summary
Estimated points
193.4Total
South West Metro Pirates97.6
Mackay Meteors95.8
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
South West Metro Pirates
Mackay Meteors
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
South West Metro Pirates
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Mackay Meteors
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
South West Metro Pirates
2–4
Mackay Meteors
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points193.4South West Metro Pirates 97.6 · Mackay Meteors 95.8
Match keys
- H2H favours Mackay Meteors: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| South West Metro Pirates | Mackay Meteors | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 91.8 / 102.9 | 96.3 / 94.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89.4 / 108.2 | 96.4 / 91.4 |
| Est. result | 98 | 96 |
Est. total193.4
Line O/U196
Diff.2.6
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · South West Metro Pirates 2–0–4 Mackay Meteors
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/25 Australia NBL1 North | Mackay Meteors | 95-89 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 08/06/24 Australia NBL1 North | South West Metro Pirates | 89-103 | Mackay Meteors |
| 22/07/23 Australia NBL1 North | South West Metro Pirates | 94-72 | Mackay Meteors |
| 29/04/23 Australia NBL1 North | Mackay Meteors | 87-97 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 12/06/22 Australia NBL1 North | South West Metro Pirates | 48-82 | Mackay Meteors |
| 19/06/21 Australia NBL1 North | Mackay Meteors | 103-92 | South West Metro Pirates |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairns Marlins | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1546 | 1248 | 0 |
| 2 | Gold Coast Rollers | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1674 | 1397 | 0 |
| 3 | Logan Thunder | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1519 | 1330 | 0 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1486 | 1323 | 0 |
| 5 | Mackay Meteors | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1354 | 1342 | 0 |
| 6 | Ipswich Force | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1469 | 1414 | 0 |
| 7 | Brisbane Capitals | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1403 | 1432 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern Districts Spartans | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1424 | 1485 | 0 |
| 9 | Northside Wizards | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1278 | 1384 | 0 |
| 10 | Townsville Heat | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1318 | 1463 | 0 |
| 11 | South West Metro Pirates | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1286 | 1549 | 0 |
| 12 | Rockhampton Rockets | 14 | 2 | 12 | 1326 | 1487 | 0 |
| 13 | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 15 | 2 | 13 | 1260 | 1489 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | South West Metro Pirates | Mackay Meteors |
|---|---|---|
| Northside Wizards | 71-104 L | 114-92 W |
| North Gold Coast Seahawks | 102-98 W | 99-84 W |
| Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 102-92 W | 79-86 L |
| Rockhampton Rockets | 122-111 W | 118-99 W |
| Brisbane Capitals | 88-104 L | 107-97 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mackay Meteors (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
South West Metro Pirates
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
86-126 | L |
| 03/07 | Logan Thunder Australia NBL1 North |
85-112 | L |
| 27/06 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
71-104 | L |
| 21/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
102-98 | W |
| 20/06 | Logan Thunder Australia NBL1 North |
103-101 | W |
| 13/06 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
102-92 | W |
| 06/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
122-111 | W |
| 31/05 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
77-86 | L |
| 30/05 | Brisbane Capitals Australia NBL1 North |
88-104 | L |
| 23/05 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
82-95 | L |
Mackay Meteors
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
79-86 | L |
| 03/07 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
95-77 | W |
| 27/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
118-99 | W |
| 20/06 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
91-111 | L |
| 12/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
99-84 | W |
| 29/05 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
114-92 | W |
| 23/05 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
83-110 | L |
| 22/05 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
92-89 | W |
| 16/05 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
85-104 | L |
| 09/05 | Brisbane Capitals Australia NBL1 North |
107-97 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in South West Metro Pirates vs Mackay Meteors?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (South West Metro Pirates 55% · Mackay Meteors 45%).
How many points are expected in South West Metro Pirates vs Mackay Meteors?
The model estimates 193.4 total points (South West Metro Pirates 97.6 · Mackay Meteors 95.8).