Basketball · Australia NBL1 North · 18/07, 12:00
Prediction: Logan Thunder vs Ipswich Force
Prediction summary
Estimated points
192.1Total
Logan Thunder99.5
Ipswich Force92.6
1X2
Logan Thunder
Ipswich Force
Recent form · 10 last
Logan Thunder
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Ipswich Force
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Logan Thunder
4–2
Ipswich Force
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points192.1Logan Thunder 99.5 · Ipswich Force 92.6
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Logan Thunder (rating 1577 vs 1524).
- Logan Thunder is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours Logan Thunder: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Logan Thunder | Ipswich Force | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 101.9 / 90.4 | 99.3 / 93.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 99 / 86.2 | 100 / 95.6 |
| Est. result | 100 | 93 |
Est. total192.1
Line O/U194
Diff.1.9
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Logan Thunder 4–0–2 Ipswich Force
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia NBL1 North | Ipswich Force | 83-102 | Logan Thunder |
| 14/06/25 Australia NBL1 North | Ipswich Force | 87-90 | Logan Thunder |
| 31/05/25 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 127-116 | Ipswich Force |
| 29/06/24 Australia NBL1 North | Ipswich Force | 90-71 | Logan Thunder |
| 31/05/24 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 96-73 | Ipswich Force |
| 29/07/23 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 79-87 | Ipswich Force |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairns Marlins | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1546 | 1248 | 0 |
| 2 | Gold Coast Rollers | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1674 | 1397 | 0 |
| 3 | Logan Thunder | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1519 | 1330 | 0 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1486 | 1323 | 0 |
| 5 | Mackay Meteors | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1354 | 1342 | 0 |
| 6 | Ipswich Force | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1469 | 1414 | 0 |
| 7 | Brisbane Capitals | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1403 | 1432 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern Districts Spartans | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1424 | 1485 | 0 |
| 9 | Northside Wizards | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1278 | 1384 | 0 |
| 10 | Townsville Heat | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1318 | 1463 | 0 |
| 11 | South West Metro Pirates | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1286 | 1549 | 0 |
| 12 | Rockhampton Rockets | 14 | 2 | 12 | 1326 | 1487 | 0 |
| 13 | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 15 | 2 | 13 | 1260 | 1489 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Logan Thunder | Ipswich Force |
|---|---|---|
| Townsville Heat | 95-82 W | 131-92 W |
| Cairns Marlins | 82-93 L | 91-106 L |
| Northside Wizards | 101-86 W | 121-81 W |
| South West Metro Pirates | 112-85 W | 86-77 W |
| North Gold Coast Seahawks | 105-85 W | 91-67 W |
| Southern Districts Spartans | 124-84 W | 79-102 L |
| Rockhampton Rockets | 117-92 W | 112-106 W |
| Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 87-116 L | 88-123 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Logan Thunder (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Logan Thunder
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
95-82 | W |
| 10/07 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
82-93 | L |
| 04/07 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
101-86 | W |
| 03/07 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
112-85 | W |
| 28/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
105-85 | W |
| 20/06 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
101-103 | L |
| 13/06 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
124-84 | W |
| 05/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
117-92 | W |
| 30/05 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
87-116 | L |
| 29/05 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
95-78 | W |
Ipswich Force
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
91-67 | W |
| 04/07 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
108-111 | L |
| 27/06 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
131-92 | W |
| 26/06 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
91-106 | L |
| 20/06 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
79-102 | L |
| 14/06 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
121-81 | W |
| 07/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
112-106 | W |
| 06/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
86-74 | W |
| 31/05 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
86-77 | W |
| 24/05 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
88-123 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Logan Thunder vs Ipswich Force?
Our model gives 69% to Logan Thunder.
How many points are expected in Logan Thunder vs Ipswich Force?
The model estimates 192.1 total points (Logan Thunder 99.5 · Ipswich Force 92.6).