Basketball · Australia NBL1 North · 18/07, 12:00

Prediction: Townsville Heat vs Rockhampton Rockets

Prediction summary

Estimated points

200.4Total

Townsville Heat103.5

Rockhampton Rockets96.9

1X2

68% 32%

Townsville Heat Rockhampton Rockets

Recent form · 10 last

Townsville Heat 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Rockhampton Rockets 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Townsville Heat 5–1 Rockhampton Rockets (6 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points200.4Townsville Heat 103.5 · Rockhampton Rockets 96.9

Match keys

Townsville Heat is a clear favourite (68% market).
H2H favours Townsville Heat: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Townsville Heat	Rockhampton Rockets
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.9 / 100.8	97.9 / 112
Points F\|A (Last 5)	87.8 / 101.4	96.6 / 112.2
Est. result	104	97

Est. total200.4

Line O/U196.5

Diff.3.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 196.51.86

Under 196.51.81

Diff.: 4.3 · Est. total: 200.8

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.67
2	2.03 → 2.03	Pinn 2.03

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
14:45 +1’	1.67	2.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Townsville Heat 5–0–1 Rockhampton Rockets

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Australia NBL1 North	Rockhampton Rockets	90-102	Townsville Heat
20/07/25 Australia NBL1 North	Townsville Heat	107-97	Rockhampton Rockets
09/05/25 Australia NBL1 North	Rockhampton Rockets	67-89	Townsville Heat
08/06/24 Australia NBL1 North	Townsville Heat	88-97	Rockhampton Rockets
13/04/24 Australia NBL1 North	Rockhampton Rockets	90-97	Townsville Heat
30/06/23 Australia NBL1 North	Townsville Heat	101-69	Rockhampton Rockets

Standings · Australia NBL1 North

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Cairns Marlins	15	15	0	1546	1248
2	Gold Coast Rollers	15	13	2	1674	1397
3	Logan Thunder	15	11	4	1519	1330
4	Sunshine Coast Phoenix	15	11	4	1486	1323
5	Mackay Meteors	14	8	6	1354	1342
6	Ipswich Force	15	8	7	1469	1414
7	Brisbane Capitals	15	8	7	1403	1432
8	Southern Districts Spartans	15	6	9	1424	1485
9	Northside Wizards	14	4	10	1278	1384
10	Townsville Heat	15	4	11	1318	1463
11	South West Metro Pirates	15	4	11	1286	1549
12	Rockhampton Rockets	14	2	12	1326	1487
13	North Gold Coast Seahawks	15	2	13	1260	1489

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Townsville Heat	Rockhampton Rockets
Logan Thunder	82-95 L	92-117 L
Mackay Meteors	77-95 L	99-118 L
Ipswich Force	92-131 L	106-112 L
Cairns Marlins	86-96 L	85-118 L
North Gold Coast Seahawks	87-90 L	104-78 W
Gold Coast Rollers	83-110 L	94-130 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 6 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Townsville Heat (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Townsville Heat

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/07	Logan Thunder Australia NBL1 North	82-95	L
04/07	Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North	102-90	W
03/07	Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North	77-95	L
27/06	Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North	92-131	L
19/06	Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North	86-96	L
13/06	North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North	87-90	L
07/06	Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North	101-117	L
06/06	Brisbane Capitals Australia NBL1 North	110-92	W
29/05	Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North	83-110	L
22/05	Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North	89-92	L

Rockhampton Rockets

LWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/07	Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North	103-111	L
04/07	Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North	90-102	L
27/06	Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North	99-118	L
12/06	Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North	85-118	L
07/06	Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North	106-112	L
06/06	South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North	111-122	L
05/06	Logan Thunder Australia NBL1 North	92-117	L
30/05	Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North	95-112	L
24/05	North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North	104-78	W
23/05	Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North	94-130	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Townsville Heat vs Rockhampton Rockets?

Our model gives 68% to Townsville Heat.

How many points are expected in Townsville Heat vs Rockhampton Rockets?

The model estimates 200.4 total points (Townsville Heat 103.5 · Rockhampton Rockets 96.9).