Prediction: South West Metro Pirates vs Gold Coast Rollers
Estimated 199.8 total points (South West Metro Pirates 92.6 · Gold Coast Rollers 107.2).
Over its last 10 matches, South West Metro Pirates sits at 4-0-6 (W-D-L), while Gold Coast Rollers arrives on a 9-0-1 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for South West Metro Pirates and 5 for Gold Coast Rollers.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gold Coast Rollers (rating 1460 vs 1619).
- H2H favours Gold Coast Rollers: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| South West Metro Pirates | Gold Coast Rollers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.8 / 101.7 | 112.6 / 92.9 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 92.6 / 101.4 | 111 / 93.4 |
| Est. result | 93 | 107 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · South West Metro Pirates 1–0–5 Gold Coast Rollers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia NBL1 North | Gold Coast Rollers | 114-96 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 19/07/25 Australia NBL1 North | South West Metro Pirates | 93-96 | Gold Coast Rollers |
| 21/06/25 Australia NBL1 North | Gold Coast Rollers | 109-93 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 20/04/24 Australia NBL1 North | South West Metro Pirates | 106-98 | Gold Coast Rollers |
| 14/04/24 Australia NBL1 North | Gold Coast Rollers | 111-94 | South West Metro Pirates |
| 28/07/23 Australia NBL1 North | Gold Coast Rollers | 108-95 | South West Metro Pirates |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairns Marlins | 14 | 14 | 0 | 1453 | 1166 | 0 |
| 2 | Gold Coast Rollers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1427 | 1226 | 0 |
| 3 | Logan Thunder | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1342 | 1155 | 0 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1289 | 1141 | 0 |
| 5 | Mackay Meteors | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1275 | 1256 | 0 |
| 6 | Ipswich Force | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1378 | 1347 | 0 |
| 7 | Brisbane Capitals | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1303 | 1344 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern Districts Spartans | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1424 | 1485 | 0 |
| 9 | Northside Wizards | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1190 | 1284 | 0 |
| 10 | Townsville Heat | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1236 | 1368 | 0 |
| 11 | South West Metro Pirates | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1200 | 1423 | 0 |
| 12 | Rockhampton Rockets | 13 | 2 | 11 | 1223 | 1376 | 0 |
| 13 | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 13 | 2 | 11 | 1108 | 1277 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | South West Metro Pirates | Gold Coast Rollers |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thunder | 85-112 L | 104-96 W |
| Northside Wizards | 71-104 L | 118-90 W |
| Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 102-92 W | 113-93 W |
| Rockhampton Rockets | 122-111 W | 130-94 W |
| Ipswich Force | 77-86 L | 111-108 W |
| Brisbane Capitals | 88-104 L | 92-79 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Gold Coast Rollers (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
South West Metro Pirates
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Logan Thunder Australia NBL1 North |
85-112 | L |
| 27/06 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
71-104 | L |
| 21/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
102-98 | W |
| 20/06 | Logan Thunder Australia NBL1 North |
103-101 | W |
| 13/06 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
102-92 | W |
| 06/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
122-111 | W |
| 31/05 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
77-86 | L |
| 30/05 | Brisbane Capitals Australia NBL1 North |
88-104 | L |
| 23/05 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
82-95 | L |
| 16/05 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
96-114 | L |
Gold Coast Rollers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
111-108 | W |
| 27/06 | Brisbane Capitals Australia NBL1 North |
92-79 | W |
| 21/06 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
118-90 | W |
| 12/06 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
136-87 | W |
| 30/05 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
98-103 | L |
| 29/05 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
110-83 | W |
| 23/05 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
130-94 | W |
| 16/05 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
114-96 | W |
| 15/05 | Logan Thunder Australia NBL1 North |
104-96 | W |
| 09/05 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
113-93 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in South West Metro Pirates vs Gold Coast Rollers?
Our model gives 60% to Gold Coast Rollers.
How many points are expected in South West Metro Pirates vs Gold Coast Rollers?
The model estimates 199.8 total points (South West Metro Pirates 92.6 · Gold Coast Rollers 107.2).