Basketball · Australia NBL1 North · 11/07, 12:00
Prediction: Townsville Heat vs Logan Thunder
Prediction summary
Estimated points
192.2Total
Townsville Heat91.9
Logan Thunder100.3
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Townsville Heat
Logan Thunder
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Townsville Heat
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Logan Thunder
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Townsville Heat
2–4
Logan Thunder
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points192.2Townsville Heat 91.9 · Logan Thunder 100.3
Match keys
- H2H favours Logan Thunder: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Townsville Heat | Logan Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 92.6 / 100.9 | 102 / 92.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 88.8 / 100.4 | 100.2 / 90.4 |
| Est. result | 92 | 100 |
Est. total192.2
Line O/U188
Diff.4.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Townsville Heat 2–0–4 Logan Thunder
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/25 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 84-86 | Townsville Heat |
| 24/05/24 Australia NBL1 North | Townsville Heat | 85-93 | Logan Thunder |
| 23/04/23 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 98-70 | Townsville Heat |
| 11/06/22 Australia NBL1 North | Townsville Heat | 80-89 | Logan Thunder |
| 04/06/21 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 82-67 | Townsville Heat |
| 19/07/19 Australia QBL | Townsville Heat | 94-79 | Logan Thunder |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairns Marlins | 14 | 14 | 0 | 1453 | 1166 | 0 |
| 2 | Gold Coast Rollers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1427 | 1226 | 0 |
| 3 | Logan Thunder | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1342 | 1155 | 0 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1289 | 1141 | 0 |
| 5 | Mackay Meteors | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1275 | 1256 | 0 |
| 6 | Ipswich Force | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1378 | 1347 | 0 |
| 7 | Brisbane Capitals | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1303 | 1344 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern Districts Spartans | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1424 | 1485 | 0 |
| 9 | Northside Wizards | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1190 | 1284 | 0 |
| 10 | Townsville Heat | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1236 | 1368 | 0 |
| 11 | South West Metro Pirates | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1200 | 1423 | 0 |
| 12 | Rockhampton Rockets | 13 | 2 | 11 | 1223 | 1376 | 0 |
| 13 | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 13 | 2 | 11 | 1108 | 1277 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Townsville Heat | Logan Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Rockhampton Rockets | 102-90 W | 117-92 W |
| Cairns Marlins | 86-96 L | 82-93 L |
| North Gold Coast Seahawks | 87-90 L | 105-85 W |
| Southern Districts Spartans | 101-117 L | 124-84 W |
| Gold Coast Rollers | 83-110 L | 96-104 L |
| Northside Wizards | 99-96 W | 101-86 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Logan Thunder (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Townsville Heat
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
102-90 | W |
| 03/07 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
77-95 | L |
| 27/06 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
92-131 | L |
| 19/06 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
86-96 | L |
| 13/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
87-90 | L |
| 07/06 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
101-117 | L |
| 06/06 | Brisbane Capitals Australia NBL1 North |
110-92 | W |
| 29/05 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
83-110 | L |
| 22/05 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
89-92 | L |
| 16/05 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
99-96 | W |
Logan Thunder
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
82-93 | L |
| 04/07 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
101-86 | W |
| 03/07 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
112-85 | W |
| 28/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
105-85 | W |
| 20/06 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
101-103 | L |
| 13/06 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
124-84 | W |
| 05/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
117-92 | W |
| 30/05 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
87-116 | L |
| 29/05 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
95-78 | W |
| 15/05 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
96-104 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Townsville Heat vs Logan Thunder?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Townsville Heat 50% · Logan Thunder 50%).
How many points are expected in Townsville Heat vs Logan Thunder?
The model estimates 192.2 total points (Townsville Heat 91.9 · Logan Thunder 100.3).