Basketball · Australia NBL1 North · 17/07, 12:00
Prediction: Cairns Marlins vs Rockhampton Rockets
Prediction summary
Estimated points
198.7Total
Cairns Marlins106.6
Rockhampton Rockets92.1
1X2
Cairns Marlins
Rockhampton Rockets
Recent form · 10 last
Cairns Marlins
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Rockhampton Rockets
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cairns Marlins
3–3
Rockhampton Rockets
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points198.7Cairns Marlins 106.6 · Rockhampton Rockets 92.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cairns Marlins (rating 1620 vs 1404).
- Cairns Marlins is a clear favourite (85% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Cairns Marlins | Rockhampton Rockets | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 104.6 / 87.1 | 97.9 / 112 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 101 / 86 | 96.6 / 112.2 |
| Est. result | 107 | 92 |
Est. total198.7
Line O/U198.5
Diff.0.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cairns Marlins 3–0–3 Rockhampton Rockets
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 Australia NBL1 North | Rockhampton Rockets | 85-118 | Cairns Marlins |
| 19/07/25 Australia NBL1 North | Cairns Marlins | 80-83 | Rockhampton Rockets |
| 30/05/25 Australia NBL1 North | Rockhampton Rockets | 109-81 | Cairns Marlins |
| 06/07/24 Australia NBL1 North | Rockhampton Rockets | 94-91 | Cairns Marlins |
| 09/06/24 Australia NBL1 North | Cairns Marlins | 90-82 | Rockhampton Rockets |
| 01/07/23 Australia NBL1 North | Cairns Marlins | 91-90 | Rockhampton Rockets |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairns Marlins | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1546 | 1248 | 0 |
| 2 | Gold Coast Rollers | 15 | 13 | 2 | 1674 | 1397 | 0 |
| 3 | Logan Thunder | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1519 | 1330 | 0 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1486 | 1323 | 0 |
| 5 | Mackay Meteors | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1354 | 1342 | 0 |
| 6 | Ipswich Force | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1469 | 1414 | 0 |
| 7 | Brisbane Capitals | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1403 | 1432 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern Districts Spartans | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1424 | 1485 | 0 |
| 9 | Northside Wizards | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1278 | 1384 | 0 |
| 10 | Townsville Heat | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1318 | 1463 | 0 |
| 11 | South West Metro Pirates | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1286 | 1549 | 0 |
| 12 | Rockhampton Rockets | 14 | 2 | 12 | 1326 | 1487 | 0 |
| 13 | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 15 | 2 | 13 | 1260 | 1489 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cairns Marlins | Rockhampton Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Thunder | 93-82 W | 92-117 L |
| North Gold Coast Seahawks | 96-83 W | 104-78 W |
| Ipswich Force | 106-91 W | 106-112 L |
| Mackay Meteors | 111-91 W | 99-118 L |
| Townsville Heat | 96-86 W | 90-102 L |
| Gold Coast Rollers | 103-98 W | 94-130 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Cairns Marlins (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cairns Marlins
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Logan Thunder Australia NBL1 North |
93-82 | W |
| 04/07 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
96-83 | W |
| 03/07 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
99-83 | W |
| 26/06 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
106-91 | W |
| 20/06 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
111-91 | W |
| 19/06 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
96-86 | W |
| 13/06 | Brisbane Capitals Australia NBL1 North |
114-89 | W |
| 12/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
118-85 | W |
| 30/05 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
103-98 | W |
| 23/05 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
110-83 | W |
Rockhampton Rockets
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
103-111 | L |
| 04/07 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
90-102 | L |
| 27/06 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
99-118 | L |
| 12/06 | Cairns Marlins Australia NBL1 North |
85-118 | L |
| 07/06 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
106-112 | L |
| 06/06 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
111-122 | L |
| 05/06 | Logan Thunder Australia NBL1 North |
92-117 | L |
| 30/05 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
95-112 | L |
| 24/05 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
104-78 | W |
| 23/05 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
94-130 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cairns Marlins vs Rockhampton Rockets?
Our model gives 85% to Cairns Marlins.
How many points are expected in Cairns Marlins vs Rockhampton Rockets?
The model estimates 198.7 total points (Cairns Marlins 106.6 · Rockhampton Rockets 92.1).