Basketball · Australia NBL1 East Women · 11/07, 09:00
Prediction: Sutherland Sharks (W) vs Illawarra Hawks (W)
Estimated 151.8 total points (Sutherland Sharks (W) 79.7 · Illawarra Hawks (W) 72.1).
On recent form, Sutherland Sharks (W) is 4-0-6 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Illawarra Hawks (W) 3-0-7 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Sutherland Sharks (W) and 2 for Illawarra Hawks (W).
69%1
Model analysis
Estimated points151.8Sutherland Sharks (W) 79.7 · Illawarra Hawks (W) 72.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sutherland Sharks (W) (rating 1490 vs 1437).
- Sutherland Sharks (W) is a clear favourite (69% market).
- H2H favours Sutherland Sharks (W): 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sutherland Sharks (W) | Illawarra Hawks (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 77.9 / 74.9 | 69.8 / 82.5 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 73.2 / 77.4 | 62.4 / 90.8 |
| Est. result | 80 | 72 |
Est. total151.8
Line O/U149.5
Diff.2.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutherland Sharks (W) 4–0–2 Illawarra Hawks (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Australia NBL1 East Women | Illawarra Hawks (W) | 50-80 | Sutherland Sharks (W) |
| 12/07/25 Australia NBL1 East Women | Illawarra Hawks (W) | 90-72 | Sutherland Sharks (W) |
| 25/04/25 Australia NBL1 East Women | Sutherland Sharks (W) | 75-88 | Illawarra Hawks (W) |
| 13/07/24 Australia NBL1 East Women | Sutherland Sharks (W) | 98-69 | Illawarra Hawks (W) |
| 25/04/24 Australia NBL1 East Women | Illawarra Hawks (W) | 58-67 | Sutherland Sharks (W) |
| 24/06/23 Australia NBL1 East Women | Illawarra Hawks (W) | 58-101 | Sutherland Sharks (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norths Bears (W) | 17 | 17 | 0 | 1548 | 1101 | 0 |
| 2 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) | 18 | 17 | 1 | 1555 | 1088 | 0 |
| 3 | Bankstown Bruins (W) | 17 | 13 | 4 | 1423 | 1199 | 0 |
| 4 | BA Centre of Excellence Women | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1654 | 1351 | 0 |
| 5 | Newcastle Falcons (W) | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1359 | 1150 | 0 |
| 6 | Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1430 | 1252 | 0 |
| 7 | Hornsby Spiders (W) | 17 | 10 | 7 | 1442 | 1337 | 0 |
| 8 | Hills Hornets (W) | 17 | 9 | 8 | 1334 | 1263 | 0 |
| 9 | Maitland Mustangs (W) | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1292 | 1209 | 0 |
| 10 | Canberra Nationals (W) | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1348 | 1341 | 0 |
| 11 | Sutherland Sharks (W) | 17 | 7 | 10 | 1272 | 1235 | 0 |
| 12 | Sydney Comets (W) | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1149 | 1303 | 0 |
| 13 | Illawarra Hawks (W) | 17 | 5 | 12 | 1109 | 1394 | 0 |
| 14 | Penrith Panthers (W) | 17 | 2 | 15 | 953 | 1405 | 0 |
| 15 | Central Coast Crusaders (W) | 18 | 2 | 16 | 991 | 1579 | 0 |
| 16 | Inner West Bulls (W) | 18 | 0 | 18 | 1073 | 1725 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sutherland Sharks (W) | Illawarra Hawks (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Inner West Bulls (W) | 104-49 W | 96-79 W |
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) | 52-92 L | 51-103 L |
| Canberra Nationals (W) | 75-87 L | 77-83 L |
| Hills Hornets (W) | 68-91 L | 61-91 L |
| Penrith Panthers (W) | 88-56 W | 79-67 W |
| Sydney Comets (W) | 70-63 W | 71-87 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Sutherland Sharks (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutherland Sharks (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Inner West Bulls (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
104-49 | W |
| 04/07 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
52-92 | L |
| 27/06 | Canberra Nationals (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
75-87 | L |
| 21/06 | Hills Hornets (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
68-91 | L |
| 20/06 | BA Centre of Excellence Women Australia NBL1 East Women |
67-68 | L |
| 14/06 | Canberra Nationals (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
70-81 | L |
| 13/06 | Hornsby Spiders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
97-98 | L |
| 31/05 | Penrith Panthers (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
88-56 | W |
| 30/05 | Sydney Comets (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
70-63 | W |
| 23/05 | Central Coast Crusaders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
88-64 | W |
Illawarra Hawks (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sydney Comets (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
71-87 | L |
| 04/07 | Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
64-76 | L |
| 27/06 | Hills Hornets (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
61-91 | L |
| 21/06 | Bankstown Bruins (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
65-97 | L |
| 20/06 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
51-103 | L |
| 13/06 | Canberra Nationals (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
77-83 | L |
| 30/05 | Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
70-66 | W |
| 23/05 | Newcastle Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
64-76 | L |
| 16/05 | Penrith Panthers (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
79-67 | W |
| 09/05 | Inner West Bulls (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
96-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutherland Sharks (W) vs Illawarra Hawks (W)?
Our model gives 69% to Sutherland Sharks (W).
How many points are expected in Sutherland Sharks (W) vs Illawarra Hawks (W)?
The model estimates 151.8 total points (Sutherland Sharks (W) 79.7 · Illawarra Hawks (W) 72.1).