Basketball · Australia NBL1 East Women · 18/07, 09:00
Prediction: Maitland Mustangs (W) vs Newcastle Falcons (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
149.5Total
Maitland Mustangs (W)76.3
Newcastle Falcons (W)73.1
1X2
Maitland Mustangs (W)
Newcastle Falcons (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Maitland Mustangs (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Newcastle Falcons (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maitland Mustangs (W)
1–5
Newcastle Falcons (W)
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points149.5Maitland Mustangs (W) 76.3 · Newcastle Falcons (W) 73.1
Match keys
- H2H favours Newcastle Falcons (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Maitland Mustangs (W) | Newcastle Falcons (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 80.3 / 71 | 81.2 / 65.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 89.8 / 68 | 84 / 50.4 |
| Est. result | 76 | 73 |
Est. total149.5
Line O/U146.5
Diff.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maitland Mustangs (W) 1–0–5 Newcastle Falcons (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Australia NBL1 East Women | Newcastle Falcons (W) | 78-60 | Maitland Mustangs (W) |
| 12/07/25 Australia NBL1 East Women | Maitland Mustangs (W) | 67-86 | Newcastle Falcons (W) |
| 03/05/25 Australia NBL1 East Women | Newcastle Falcons (W) | 87-76 | Maitland Mustangs (W) |
| 13/07/24 Australia NBL1 East Women | Newcastle Falcons (W) | 94-52 | Maitland Mustangs (W) |
| 06/04/24 Australia NBL1 East Women | Maitland Mustangs (W) | 63-76 | Newcastle Falcons (W) |
| 15/07/23 Australia NBL1 East Women | Newcastle Falcons (W) | 69-72 | Maitland Mustangs (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norths Bears (W) | 19 | 19 | 0 | 1728 | 1232 | 0 |
| 2 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) | 19 | 17 | 2 | 1621 | 1165 | 0 |
| 3 | Bankstown Bruins (W) | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1523 | 1278 | 0 |
| 4 | BA Centre of Excellence Women | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1654 | 1351 | 0 |
| 5 | Newcastle Falcons (W) | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1535 | 1258 | 0 |
| 6 | Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1519 | 1333 | 0 |
| 7 | Hills Hornets (W) | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1506 | 1430 | 0 |
| 8 | Hornsby Spiders (W) | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1547 | 1478 | 0 |
| 9 | Maitland Mustangs (W) | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1380 | 1281 | 0 |
| 10 | Sutherland Sharks (W) | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1367 | 1294 | 0 |
| 11 | Canberra Nationals (W) | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1429 | 1430 | 0 |
| 12 | Sydney Comets (W) | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1288 | 1450 | 0 |
| 13 | Illawarra Hawks (W) | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1168 | 1489 | 0 |
| 14 | Penrith Panthers (W) | 18 | 2 | 16 | 1020 | 1498 | 0 |
| 15 | Central Coast Crusaders (W) | 19 | 2 | 17 | 1053 | 1681 | 0 |
| 16 | Inner West Bulls (W) | 19 | 0 | 19 | 1138 | 1828 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maitland Mustangs (W) | Newcastle Falcons (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Crusaders (W) | 89-43 W | 102-62 W |
| Penrith Panthers (W) | 81-53 W | 85-36 W |
| Inner West Bulls (W) | 111-71 W | 102-41 W |
| Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) | 61-71 L | 57-67 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Newcastle Falcons (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maitland Mustangs (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Sydney Comets (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
88-72 | W |
| 04/07 | Hills Hornets (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
80-101 | L |
| 27/06 | Central Coast Crusaders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
89-43 | W |
| 20/06 | Penrith Panthers (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
81-53 | W |
| 14/06 | Inner West Bulls (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
111-71 | W |
| 13/06 | Sydney Comets (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
79-69 | W |
| 30/05 | Norths Bears (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
72-76 | L |
| 24/05 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
61-71 | L |
| 23/05 | Hills Hornets (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
82-76 | W |
| 16/05 | Newcastle Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
60-78 | L |
Newcastle Falcons (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Hornsby Spiders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
74-46 | W |
| 11/07 | Central Coast Crusaders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
102-62 | W |
| 04/07 | Inner West Bulls (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
102-41 | W |
| 28/06 | Penrith Panthers (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
85-36 | W |
| 27/06 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
57-67 | L |
| 20/06 | Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
89-104 | L |
| 14/06 | Hornsby Spiders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
94-62 | W |
| 13/06 | Bankstown Bruins (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
72-85 | L |
| 30/05 | BA Centre of Excellence Women Australia NBL1 East Women |
61-84 | L |
| 23/05 | Illawarra Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
76-64 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maitland Mustangs (W) vs Newcastle Falcons (W)?
Our model gives 59% to Maitland Mustangs (W).
How many points are expected in Maitland Mustangs (W) vs Newcastle Falcons (W)?
The model estimates 149.5 total points (Maitland Mustangs (W) 76.3 · Newcastle Falcons (W) 73.1).