Basketball · Australia NBL1 East Women · 18/07, 09:30
Prediction: Canberra Nationals (W) vs Sydney Comets (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
153.2Total
Canberra Nationals (W)80.5
Sydney Comets (W)72.7
1X2
Canberra Nationals (W)
Sydney Comets (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Canberra Nationals (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Sydney Comets (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Canberra Nationals (W)
5–1
Sydney Comets (W)
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points153.2Canberra Nationals (W) 80.5 · Sydney Comets (W) 72.7
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canberra Nationals (W) (rating 1514 vs 1446).
- Canberra Nationals (W) is a clear favourite (71% market).
- H2H favours Canberra Nationals (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Canberra Nationals (W) | Sydney Comets (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84.9 / 75.4 | 68.6 / 77.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 81.4 / 76.4 | 79 / 77.4 |
| Est. result | 81 | 73 |
Est. total153.2
Line O/U149
Diff.4.2
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canberra Nationals (W) 5–0–1 Sydney Comets (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/25 Australia NBL1 East Women | Canberra Nationals (W) | 102-66 | Sydney Comets (W) |
| 06/07/24 Australia NBL1 East Women | Canberra Nationals (W) | 101-98 | Sydney Comets (W) |
| 26/05/24 Australia NBL1 East Women | Sydney Comets (W) | 75-81 | Canberra Nationals (W) |
| 13/05/23 Australia NBL1 East Women | Canberra Nationals (W) | 44-72 | Sydney Comets (W) |
| 20/07/19 Australia Waratah League Women | Sydney Comets (W) | 66-91 | Canberra Nationals (W) |
| 27/04/19 Australia Waratah League Women | Canberra Nationals (W) | 72-45 | Sydney Comets (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norths Bears (W) | 19 | 19 | 0 | 1728 | 1232 | 0 |
| 2 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) | 19 | 17 | 2 | 1621 | 1165 | 0 |
| 3 | Bankstown Bruins (W) | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1523 | 1278 | 0 |
| 4 | BA Centre of Excellence Women | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1654 | 1351 | 0 |
| 5 | Newcastle Falcons (W) | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1535 | 1258 | 0 |
| 6 | Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1519 | 1333 | 0 |
| 7 | Hills Hornets (W) | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1506 | 1430 | 0 |
| 8 | Hornsby Spiders (W) | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1547 | 1478 | 0 |
| 9 | Maitland Mustangs (W) | 18 | 9 | 9 | 1380 | 1281 | 0 |
| 10 | Sutherland Sharks (W) | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1367 | 1294 | 0 |
| 11 | Canberra Nationals (W) | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1429 | 1430 | 0 |
| 12 | Sydney Comets (W) | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1288 | 1450 | 0 |
| 13 | Illawarra Hawks (W) | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1168 | 1489 | 0 |
| 14 | Penrith Panthers (W) | 18 | 2 | 16 | 1020 | 1498 | 0 |
| 15 | Central Coast Crusaders (W) | 19 | 2 | 17 | 1053 | 1681 | 0 |
| 16 | Inner West Bulls (W) | 19 | 0 | 19 | 1138 | 1828 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Canberra Nationals (W) | Sydney Comets (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) | 81-89 L | 48-81 L |
| Norths Bears (W) | 77-93 L | 69-85 L |
| Sutherland Sharks (W) | 87-75 W | 63-70 L |
| Inner West Bulls (W) | 81-55 W | 100-84 W |
| Illawarra Hawks (W) | 83-77 W | 87-71 W |
| BA Centre of Excellence Women | 79-80 L | 60-80 L |
| Hornsby Spiders (W) | 109-81 W | 67-59 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Canberra Nationals (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canberra Nationals (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
81-89 | L |
| 04/07 | Norths Bears (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
77-93 | L |
| 27/06 | Sutherland Sharks (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
87-75 | W |
| 20/06 | Inner West Bulls (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
81-55 | W |
| 14/06 | Sutherland Sharks (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
81-70 | W |
| 13/06 | Illawarra Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
83-77 | W |
| 05/06 | BA Centre of Excellence Women Australia NBL1 East Women |
79-80 | L |
| 04/06 | BA Centre of Excellence Women Australia NBL1 East Women |
71-93 | L |
| 31/05 | Hornsby Spiders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
109-81 | W |
| 30/05 | Central Coast Crusaders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
100-41 | W |
Sydney Comets (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Maitland Mustangs (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
72-88 | L |
| 10/07 | Hornsby Spiders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
67-59 | W |
| 05/07 | Illawarra Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
87-71 | W |
| 27/06 | Inner West Bulls (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
100-84 | W |
| 20/06 | Norths Bears (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
69-85 | L |
| 13/06 | Maitland Mustangs (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
69-79 | L |
| 31/05 | BA Centre of Excellence Women Australia NBL1 East Women |
60-80 | L |
| 30/05 | Sutherland Sharks (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
63-70 | L |
| 23/05 | Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
48-81 | L |
| 16/05 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
51-80 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canberra Nationals (W) vs Sydney Comets (W)?
Our model gives 71% to Canberra Nationals (W).
How many points are expected in Canberra Nationals (W) vs Sydney Comets (W)?
The model estimates 153.2 total points (Canberra Nationals (W) 80.5 · Sydney Comets (W) 72.7).