Basketball · Australia NBL1 East Women · 12/07, 05:00
Prediction: Newcastle Falcons (W) vs Hornsby Spiders (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
156.1Total
Newcastle Falcons (W)81.9
Hornsby Spiders (W)74.2
1X2
Newcastle Falcons (W)
Hornsby Spiders (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Newcastle Falcons (W)
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Hornsby Spiders (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Newcastle Falcons (W)
5–0
Hornsby Spiders (W)
(5 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points156.1Newcastle Falcons (W) 81.9 · Hornsby Spiders (W) 74.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Newcastle Falcons (W) (rating 1551 vs 1488).
- Newcastle Falcons (W) is a clear favourite (71% market).
- H2H favours Newcastle Falcons (W): 5-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Newcastle Falcons (W) | Hornsby Spiders (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.6 / 66.5 | 80.3 / 84.7 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 87 / 62 | 67 / 81.4 |
| Est. result | 82 | 74 |
Est. total156.1
Line O/U156.5
Diff.0.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newcastle Falcons (W) 5–0–0 Hornsby Spiders (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 Australia NBL1 East Women | Hornsby Spiders (W) | 62-94 | Newcastle Falcons (W) |
| 17/05/25 Australia NBL1 East Women | Hornsby Spiders (W) | 72-84 | Newcastle Falcons (W) |
| 06/07/24 Australia NBL1 East Women | Hornsby Spiders (W) | 64-81 | Newcastle Falcons (W) |
| 20/04/24 Australia NBL1 East Women | Newcastle Falcons (W) | 85-59 | Hornsby Spiders (W) |
| 17/06/23 Australia NBL1 East Women | Newcastle Falcons (W) | 123-47 | Hornsby Spiders (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 East Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norths Bears (W) | 18 | 18 | 0 | 1625 | 1167 | 0 |
| 2 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) | 19 | 17 | 2 | 1621 | 1165 | 0 |
| 3 | Bankstown Bruins (W) | 18 | 14 | 4 | 1523 | 1278 | 0 |
| 4 | BA Centre of Excellence Women | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1654 | 1351 | 0 |
| 5 | Newcastle Falcons (W) | 17 | 11 | 6 | 1359 | 1150 | 0 |
| 6 | Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1430 | 1252 | 0 |
| 7 | Hornsby Spiders (W) | 18 | 10 | 8 | 1501 | 1404 | 0 |
| 8 | Hills Hornets (W) | 19 | 10 | 9 | 1506 | 1430 | 0 |
| 9 | Maitland Mustangs (W) | 17 | 8 | 9 | 1292 | 1209 | 0 |
| 10 | Canberra Nationals (W) | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1348 | 1341 | 0 |
| 11 | Sutherland Sharks (W) | 18 | 8 | 10 | 1367 | 1294 | 0 |
| 12 | Sydney Comets (W) | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1216 | 1362 | 0 |
| 13 | Illawarra Hawks (W) | 18 | 5 | 13 | 1168 | 1489 | 0 |
| 14 | Penrith Panthers (W) | 18 | 2 | 16 | 1020 | 1498 | 0 |
| 15 | Central Coast Crusaders (W) | 18 | 2 | 16 | 991 | 1579 | 0 |
| 16 | Inner West Bulls (W) | 18 | 0 | 18 | 1073 | 1725 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newcastle Falcons (W) | Hornsby Spiders (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Central Coast Crusaders (W) | 102-62 W | 79-64 W |
| Inner West Bulls (W) | 102-41 W | 104-72 W |
| Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) | 89-104 L | 62-82 L |
| BA Centre of Excellence Women | 61-84 L | 90-79 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Newcastle Falcons (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newcastle Falcons (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Central Coast Crusaders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
102-62 | W |
| 04/07 | Inner West Bulls (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
102-41 | W |
| 28/06 | Penrith Panthers (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
85-36 | W |
| 27/06 | Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
57-67 | L |
| 20/06 | Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
89-104 | L |
| 14/06 | Hornsby Spiders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
94-62 | W |
| 13/06 | Bankstown Bruins (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
72-85 | L |
| 30/05 | BA Centre of Excellence Women Australia NBL1 East Women |
61-84 | L |
| 23/05 | Illawarra Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
76-64 | W |
| 16/05 | Maitland Mustangs (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
78-60 | W |
Hornsby Spiders (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Sydney Comets (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
59-67 | L |
| 04/07 | Central Coast Crusaders (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
79-64 | W |
| 27/06 | Albury Wodonga Bandits (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
62-82 | L |
| 20/06 | Hills Hornets (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
73-100 | L |
| 14/06 | Newcastle Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
62-94 | L |
| 13/06 | Sutherland Sharks (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
98-97 | W |
| 31/05 | Canberra Nationals (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
81-109 | L |
| 24/05 | BA Centre of Excellence Women Australia NBL1 East Women |
90-79 | W |
| 23/05 | Canberra Nationals (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
95-83 | W |
| 16/05 | Inner West Bulls (W) Australia NBL1 East Women |
104-72 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newcastle Falcons (W) vs Hornsby Spiders (W)?
Our model gives 71% to Newcastle Falcons (W).
How many points are expected in Newcastle Falcons (W) vs Hornsby Spiders (W)?
The model estimates 156.1 total points (Newcastle Falcons (W) 81.9 · Hornsby Spiders (W) 74.2).