Prediction: Cairns Marlins vs Logan Thunder
Estimated 192.7 total points (Cairns Marlins 98.3 · Logan Thunder 94.4).
On recent form, Cairns Marlins is 10-0-0 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Logan Thunder 7-0-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Cairns Marlins and 3 for Logan Thunder.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cairns Marlins (rating 1630 vs 1563).
- Cairns Marlins is a clear favourite (71% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Cairns Marlins | Logan Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 105 / 86.3 | 104 / 91.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 101.6 / 86.8 | 108.6 / 88.6 |
| Est. result | 98 | 94 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cairns Marlins 3–0–3 Logan Thunder
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/25 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 85-89 | Cairns Marlins |
| 25/05/24 Australia NBL1 North | Cairns Marlins | 82-106 | Logan Thunder |
| 17/06/23 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 108-68 | Cairns Marlins |
| 10/06/22 Australia NBL1 North | Cairns Marlins | 81-84 | Logan Thunder |
| 04/09/21 Australia NBL1 North | Logan Thunder | 67-96 | Cairns Marlins |
| 20/07/19 Australia QBL | Cairns Marlins | 104-88 | Logan Thunder |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairns Marlins | 14 | 14 | 0 | 1453 | 1166 | 0 |
| 2 | Gold Coast Rollers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 1427 | 1226 | 0 |
| 3 | Logan Thunder | 13 | 10 | 3 | 1342 | 1155 | 0 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1289 | 1141 | 0 |
| 5 | Mackay Meteors | 13 | 8 | 5 | 1275 | 1256 | 0 |
| 6 | Ipswich Force | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1378 | 1347 | 0 |
| 7 | Brisbane Capitals | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1303 | 1344 | 0 |
| 8 | Southern Districts Spartans | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1424 | 1485 | 0 |
| 9 | Northside Wizards | 13 | 4 | 9 | 1190 | 1284 | 0 |
| 10 | Townsville Heat | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1236 | 1368 | 0 |
| 11 | South West Metro Pirates | 14 | 4 | 10 | 1200 | 1423 | 0 |
| 12 | Rockhampton Rockets | 13 | 2 | 11 | 1223 | 1376 | 0 |
| 13 | North Gold Coast Seahawks | 13 | 2 | 11 | 1108 | 1277 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cairns Marlins | Logan Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| North Gold Coast Seahawks | 96-83 W | 105-85 W |
| Southern Districts Spartans | 99-83 W | 124-84 W |
| Ipswich Force | 106-91 W | 102-83 W |
| Rockhampton Rockets | 118-85 W | 117-92 W |
| Gold Coast Rollers | 103-98 W | 96-104 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Logan Thunder (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cairns Marlins
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
96-83 | W |
| 03/07 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
99-83 | W |
| 26/06 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
106-91 | W |
| 20/06 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
111-91 | W |
| 19/06 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
96-86 | W |
| 13/06 | Brisbane Capitals Australia NBL1 North |
114-89 | W |
| 12/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
118-85 | W |
| 30/05 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
103-98 | W |
| 23/05 | Mackay Meteors Australia NBL1 North |
110-83 | W |
| 09/05 | Townsville Heat Australia NBL1 North |
97-74 | W |
Logan Thunder
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Northside Wizards Australia NBL1 North |
101-86 | W |
| 03/07 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
112-85 | W |
| 28/06 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
105-85 | W |
| 20/06 | South West Metro Pirates Australia NBL1 North |
101-103 | L |
| 13/06 | Southern Districts Spartans Australia NBL1 North |
124-84 | W |
| 05/06 | Rockhampton Rockets Australia NBL1 North |
117-92 | W |
| 30/05 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix Australia NBL1 North |
87-116 | L |
| 29/05 | North Gold Coast Seahawks Australia NBL1 North |
95-78 | W |
| 15/05 | Gold Coast Rollers Australia NBL1 North |
96-104 | L |
| 09/05 | Ipswich Force Australia NBL1 North |
102-83 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cairns Marlins vs Logan Thunder?
Our model gives 71% to Cairns Marlins.
How many points are expected in Cairns Marlins vs Logan Thunder?
The model estimates 192.7 total points (Cairns Marlins 98.3 · Logan Thunder 94.4).