Basketball · Australia NBL1 South · 18/07, 11:30
Prediction: Nunawading Spectres vs Ballarat Miners
Prediction summary
Estimated points
204.3Total
Nunawading Spectres108
Ballarat Miners96.3
1X2
Nunawading Spectres
Ballarat Miners
Recent form · 10 last
Nunawading Spectres
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Ballarat Miners
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nunawading Spectres
4–2
Ballarat Miners
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points204.3Nunawading Spectres 108 · Ballarat Miners 96.3
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nunawading Spectres (rating 1575 vs 1419).
- Nunawading Spectres is a clear favourite (80% market).
- H2H favours Nunawading Spectres: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Nunawading Spectres | Ballarat Miners | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 104.7 / 93.7 | 96.4 / 108.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 112.6 / 91.2 | 91.4 / 108.6 |
| Est. result | 108 | 96 |
Est. total204.3
Line O/U198.5
Diff.5.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nunawading Spectres 4–0–2 Ballarat Miners
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/25 Australia NBL1 South | Nunawading Spectres | 83-96 | Ballarat Miners |
| 22/06/24 Australia NBL1 South | Ballarat Miners | 79-94 | Nunawading Spectres |
| 15/04/23 Australia NBL1 South | Nunawading Spectres | 104-76 | Ballarat Miners |
| 30/07/22 Australia NBL1 South | Nunawading Spectres | 89-78 | Ballarat Miners |
| 03/07/21 Australia NBL1 South | Ballarat Miners | 94-67 | Nunawading Spectres |
| 10/08/19 Australia NBL1 | Ballarat Miners | 68-75 | Nunawading Spectres |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eltham Wildcats | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1812 | 1582 | 0 |
| 2 | Nunawading Spectres | 21 | 16 | 5 | 2145 | 1915 | 0 |
| 3 | Melbourne Tigers | 21 | 16 | 5 | 1940 | 1712 | 0 |
| 4 | Frankston Blues | 21 | 15 | 6 | 2007 | 1901 | 0 |
| 5 | Knox Raiders | 21 | 14 | 7 | 2052 | 1914 | 0 |
| 6 | Keilor Thunder | 21 | 14 | 7 | 1967 | 1826 | 0 |
| 7 | Dandenong Rangers | 21 | 12 | 9 | 1999 | 1933 | 0 |
| 8 | Kilsyth Cobras | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1832 | 1824 | 0 |
| 9 | Casey Cavaliers | 21 | 11 | 10 | 1958 | 1912 | 0 |
| 10 | Sandringham Sabres | 21 | 11 | 10 | 1962 | 1889 | 0 |
| 11 | Ringwood Hawks | 21 | 10 | 11 | 1898 | 1997 | 0 |
| 12 | Waverley Falcons | 21 | 8 | 13 | 1871 | 1929 | 0 |
| 13 | Hobart Chargers | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1821 | 1922 | 0 |
| 14 | Northern Force | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1840 | 1986 | 0 |
| 15 | Bendigo Braves | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1682 | 1822 | 0 |
| 16 | Diamond Valley Eagles | 21 | 7 | 14 | 1907 | 1971 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1763 | 1931 | 0 |
| 18 | Mount Gambier Pioneers | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1872 | 2038 | 0 |
| 19 | Ballarat Miners | 21 | 3 | 18 | 1867 | 2191 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nunawading Spectres | Ballarat Miners |
|---|---|---|
| Geelong United | 106-100 W | 68-78 L |
| Knox Raiders | 95-104 L | 92-109 L |
| Waverley Falcons | 88-73 W | 98-130 L |
| Dandenong Rangers | 111-106 W | 81-111 L |
| Sandringham Sabres | 95-105 L | 111-107 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Nunawading Spectres (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nunawading Spectres
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Kilsyth Cobras Australia NBL1 South |
119-111 | W |
| 04/07 | Diamond Valley Eagles Australia NBL1 South |
98-91 | W |
| 28/06 | Mount Gambier Pioneers Australia NBL1 South |
110-100 | W |
| 27/06 | Geelong United Australia NBL1 South |
106-100 | W |
| 20/06 | Ringwood Hawks Australia NBL1 South |
130-54 | W |
| 14/06 | Knox Raiders Australia NBL1 South |
95-104 | L |
| 13/06 | Waverley Falcons Australia NBL1 South |
88-73 | W |
| 31/05 | Melbourne Tigers Australia NBL1 South |
95-93 | W |
| 30/05 | Dandenong Rangers Australia NBL1 South |
111-106 | W |
| 23/05 | Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South |
95-105 | L |
Ballarat Miners
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South |
111-107 | W |
| 05/07 | Dandenong Rangers Australia NBL1 South |
81-111 | L |
| 27/06 | Waverley Falcons Australia NBL1 South |
98-130 | L |
| 20/06 | Geelong United Australia NBL1 South |
68-78 | L |
| 14/06 | Northern Force Australia NBL1 South |
99-117 | L |
| 13/06 | Casey Cavaliers Australia NBL1 South |
106-117 | L |
| 05/06 | Keilor Thunder Australia NBL1 South |
98-116 | L |
| 31/05 | Knox Raiders Australia NBL1 South |
92-109 | L |
| 30/05 | Geelong United Australia NBL1 South |
101-82 | W |
| 24/05 | Hobart Chargers Australia NBL1 South |
110-114 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nunawading Spectres vs Ballarat Miners?
Our model gives 80% to Nunawading Spectres.
How many points are expected in Nunawading Spectres vs Ballarat Miners?
The model estimates 204.3 total points (Nunawading Spectres 108 · Ballarat Miners 96.3).