Basketball · Australia NBL1 South · 18/07, 11:00
Prediction: Melbourne Tigers vs Eltham Wildcats
Prediction summary
Estimated points
169.5Total
Melbourne Tigers86
Eltham Wildcats83.5
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Melbourne Tigers
Eltham Wildcats
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Melbourne Tigers
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Eltham Wildcats
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Melbourne Tigers
4–2
Eltham Wildcats
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points169.5Melbourne Tigers 86 · Eltham Wildcats 83.5
Match keys
- H2H favours Melbourne Tigers: 4-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Melbourne Tigers | Eltham Wildcats | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 91.1 / 80.1 | 94.2 / 78.2 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 97.2 / 83 | 98 / 79 |
| Est. result | 86 | 84 |
Est. total169.5
Line O/U170
Diff.0.5
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Melbourne Tigers 4–0–2 Eltham Wildcats
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Australia NBL1 South | Eltham Wildcats | 63-77 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 04/05/25 Australia NBL1 South | Eltham Wildcats | 87-85 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 27/04/24 Australia NBL1 South | Melbourne Tigers | 89-80 | Eltham Wildcats |
| 13/05/23 Australia NBL1 South | Eltham Wildcats | 100-91 | Melbourne Tigers |
| 01/05/22 Australia NBL1 South | Melbourne Tigers | 75-68 | Eltham Wildcats |
| 21/07/19 Australia NBL1 | Melbourne Tigers | 82-70 | Eltham Wildcats |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eltham Wildcats | 21 | 17 | 4 | 1906 | 1658 | 0 |
| 2 | Nunawading Spectres | 21 | 16 | 5 | 2145 | 1915 | 0 |
| 3 | Melbourne Tigers | 21 | 16 | 5 | 1940 | 1712 | 0 |
| 4 | Frankston Blues | 21 | 15 | 6 | 2007 | 1901 | 0 |
| 5 | Knox Raiders | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2173 | 2000 | 0 |
| 6 | Keilor Thunder | 22 | 15 | 7 | 2060 | 1895 | 0 |
| 7 | Dandenong Rangers | 21 | 12 | 9 | 1999 | 1933 | 0 |
| 8 | Sandringham Sabres | 22 | 12 | 10 | 2092 | 1969 | 0 |
| 9 | Kilsyth Cobras | 21 | 11 | 10 | 1908 | 1918 | 0 |
| 10 | Casey Cavaliers | 21 | 11 | 10 | 1958 | 1912 | 0 |
| 11 | Ringwood Hawks | 21 | 10 | 11 | 1898 | 1997 | 0 |
| 12 | Waverley Falcons | 21 | 8 | 13 | 1871 | 1929 | 0 |
| 13 | Hobart Chargers | 21 | 7 | 14 | 1907 | 2043 | 0 |
| 14 | Diamond Valley Eagles | 21 | 7 | 14 | 1907 | 1971 | 0 |
| 15 | Northern Force | 21 | 7 | 14 | 1920 | 2116 | 0 |
| 16 | Bendigo Braves | 21 | 7 | 14 | 1751 | 1915 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1763 | 1931 | 0 |
| 18 | Mount Gambier Pioneers | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1872 | 2038 | 0 |
| 19 | Ballarat Miners | 21 | 3 | 18 | 1867 | 2191 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Melbourne Tigers | Eltham Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Sandringham Sabres | 97-101 L | 98-73 W |
| Northern Force | 101-92 W | 117-82 W |
| Hobart Chargers | 101-63 W | 97-87 W |
| Diamond Valley Eagles | 88-83 W | 105-83 W |
| Bendigo Braves | 85-65 W | 86-81 W |
| Keilor Thunder | 95-80 W | 90-81 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 6 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melbourne Tigers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South |
97-101 | L |
| 04/07 | Northern Force Australia NBL1 South |
101-92 | W |
| 03/07 | Hobart Chargers Australia NBL1 South |
101-63 | W |
| 28/06 | Dandenong Rangers Australia NBL1 South |
99-76 | W |
| 21/06 | Diamond Valley Eagles Australia NBL1 South |
88-83 | W |
| 20/06 | Bendigo Braves Australia NBL1 South |
85-65 | W |
| 13/06 | Eltham Wildcats Australia NBL1 South |
77-63 | W |
| 05/06 | Casey Cavaliers Australia NBL1 South |
75-83 | L |
| 31/05 | Nunawading Spectres Australia NBL1 South |
93-95 | L |
| 30/05 | Keilor Thunder Australia NBL1 South |
95-80 | W |
Eltham Wildcats
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Kilsyth Cobras Australia NBL1 South |
94-76 | W |
| 10/07 | Knox Raiders Australia NBL1 South |
84-77 | W |
| 04/07 | Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South |
98-73 | W |
| 27/06 | Northern Force Australia NBL1 South |
117-82 | W |
| 26/06 | Hobart Chargers Australia NBL1 South |
97-87 | W |
| 21/06 | Bendigo Braves Australia NBL1 South |
86-81 | W |
| 20/06 | Keilor Thunder Australia NBL1 South |
90-81 | W |
| 13/06 | Melbourne Tigers Australia NBL1 South |
63-77 | L |
| 30/05 | Diamond Valley Eagles Australia NBL1 South |
105-83 | W |
| 23/05 | Hobart Chargers Australia NBL1 South |
108-65 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melbourne Tigers vs Eltham Wildcats?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Melbourne Tigers 57% · Eltham Wildcats 43%).
How many points are expected in Melbourne Tigers vs Eltham Wildcats?
The model estimates 169.5 total points (Melbourne Tigers 86 · Eltham Wildcats 83.5).