Basketball · Australia NBL1 South · 18/07, 12:00
Prediction: Frankston Blues vs Mount Gambier Pioneers
Prediction summary
Estimated points
181.5Total
Frankston Blues97.5
Mount Gambier Pioneers84.1
1X2
Frankston Blues
Mount Gambier Pioneers
Recent form · 10 last
Frankston Blues
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Mount Gambier Pioneers
1-0-9 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Frankston Blues
1–5
Mount Gambier Pioneers
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points181.5Frankston Blues 97.5 · Mount Gambier Pioneers 84.1
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Frankston Blues (rating 1581 vs 1394).
- Frankston Blues is a clear favourite (83% market).
- H2H favours Mount Gambier Pioneers: 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Frankston Blues | Mount Gambier Pioneers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 96.5 / 87 | 86.2 / 95.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 96.4 / 85 | 86.2 / 95.8 |
| Est. result | 98 | 84 |
Est. total181.5
Line O/U185.5
Diff.4
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Frankston Blues 1–0–5 Mount Gambier Pioneers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/25 Australia NBL1 South | Mount Gambier Pioneers | 105-68 | Frankston Blues |
| 04/05/25 Australia NBL1 South | Frankston Blues | 115-100 | Mount Gambier Pioneers |
| 13/04/24 Australia NBL1 South | Mount Gambier Pioneers | 93-87 | Frankston Blues |
| 22/07/23 Australia NBL1 South | Frankston Blues | 96-97 | Mount Gambier Pioneers |
| 16/04/23 Australia NBL1 South | Frankston Blues | 94-103 | Mount Gambier Pioneers |
| 04/06/22 Australia NBL1 South | Frankston Blues | 91-109 | Mount Gambier Pioneers |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eltham Wildcats | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1812 | 1582 | 0 |
| 2 | Nunawading Spectres | 21 | 16 | 5 | 2145 | 1915 | 0 |
| 3 | Melbourne Tigers | 21 | 16 | 5 | 1940 | 1712 | 0 |
| 4 | Frankston Blues | 21 | 15 | 6 | 2007 | 1901 | 0 |
| 5 | Knox Raiders | 21 | 14 | 7 | 2052 | 1914 | 0 |
| 6 | Keilor Thunder | 21 | 14 | 7 | 1967 | 1826 | 0 |
| 7 | Dandenong Rangers | 21 | 12 | 9 | 1999 | 1933 | 0 |
| 8 | Kilsyth Cobras | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1832 | 1824 | 0 |
| 9 | Casey Cavaliers | 21 | 11 | 10 | 1958 | 1912 | 0 |
| 10 | Sandringham Sabres | 21 | 11 | 10 | 1962 | 1889 | 0 |
| 11 | Ringwood Hawks | 21 | 10 | 11 | 1898 | 1997 | 0 |
| 12 | Waverley Falcons | 21 | 8 | 13 | 1871 | 1929 | 0 |
| 13 | Hobart Chargers | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1821 | 1922 | 0 |
| 14 | Northern Force | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1840 | 1986 | 0 |
| 15 | Bendigo Braves | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1682 | 1822 | 0 |
| 16 | Diamond Valley Eagles | 21 | 7 | 14 | 1907 | 1971 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1763 | 1931 | 0 |
| 18 | Mount Gambier Pioneers | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1872 | 2038 | 0 |
| 19 | Ballarat Miners | 21 | 3 | 18 | 1867 | 2191 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Frankston Blues | Mount Gambier Pioneers |
|---|---|---|
| Geelong United | 100-62 W | 75-77 L |
| Ringwood Hawks | 93-99 L | 95-97 L |
| Knox Raiders | 86-85 W | 76-97 L |
| Dandenong Rangers | 95-86 W | 98-100 L |
| Northern Force | 96-85 W | 91-104 L |
| Bendigo Braves | 87-77 W | 88-70 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Frankston Blues (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Frankston Blues
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Diamond Valley Eagles Australia NBL1 South |
108-101 | W |
| 05/07 | Waverley Falcons Australia NBL1 South |
95-78 | W |
| 04/07 | Geelong United Australia NBL1 South |
100-62 | W |
| 30/06 | Ringwood Hawks Australia NBL1 South |
93-99 | L |
| 27/06 | Knox Raiders Australia NBL1 South |
86-85 | W |
| 20/06 | Dandenong Rangers Australia NBL1 South |
95-86 | W |
| 13/06 | Hobart Chargers Australia NBL1 South |
106-102 | W |
| 05/06 | Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South |
99-95 | W |
| 24/05 | Northern Force Australia NBL1 South |
96-85 | W |
| 23/05 | Bendigo Braves Australia NBL1 South |
87-77 | W |
Mount Gambier Pioneers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Keilor Thunder Australia NBL1 South |
69-102 | L |
| 04/07 | Bendigo Braves Australia NBL1 South |
88-70 | W |
| 03/07 | Knox Raiders Australia NBL1 South |
76-97 | L |
| 28/06 | Nunawading Spectres Australia NBL1 South |
100-110 | L |
| 27/06 | Dandenong Rangers Australia NBL1 South |
98-100 | L |
| 19/06 | Kilsyth Cobras Australia NBL1 South |
85-90 | L |
| 14/06 | Geelong United Australia NBL1 South |
75-77 | L |
| 12/06 | Northern Force Australia NBL1 South |
91-104 | L |
| 29/05 | Ringwood Hawks Australia NBL1 South |
95-97 | L |
| 23/05 | Casey Cavaliers Australia NBL1 South |
85-109 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Frankston Blues vs Mount Gambier Pioneers?
Our model gives 83% to Frankston Blues.
How many points are expected in Frankston Blues vs Mount Gambier Pioneers?
The model estimates 181.5 total points (Frankston Blues 97.5 · Mount Gambier Pioneers 84.1).