Basketball · Australia NBL1 South · 17/07, 12:30
Prediction: Bendigo Braves vs Keilor Thunder
Prediction summary
Estimated points
173.2Total
Bendigo Braves85
Keilor Thunder88.2
1X2
Bendigo Braves
Keilor Thunder
Recent form · 10 last
Bendigo Braves
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Keilor Thunder
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bendigo Braves
2–2
Keilor Thunder
(4 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points173.2Bendigo Braves 85 · Keilor Thunder 88.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Keilor Thunder (rating 1422 vs 1572).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Bendigo Braves | Keilor Thunder | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.6 / 89.9 | 92 / 84.1 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 82.6 / 95 | 93 / 84.8 |
| Est. result | 85 | 88 |
Est. total173.2
Line O/U175
Diff.1.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bendigo Braves 2–0–2 Keilor Thunder
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/25 Australia NBL1 South | Bendigo Braves | 87-71 | Keilor Thunder |
| 22/06/24 Australia NBL1 South | Bendigo Braves | 85-111 | Keilor Thunder |
| 25/06/23 Australia NBL1 South | Keilor Thunder | 88-89 | Bendigo Braves |
| 23/04/22 Australia NBL1 South | Keilor Thunder | 81-62 | Bendigo Braves |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eltham Wildcats | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1812 | 1582 | 0 |
| 2 | Nunawading Spectres | 21 | 16 | 5 | 2145 | 1915 | 0 |
| 3 | Melbourne Tigers | 21 | 16 | 5 | 1940 | 1712 | 0 |
| 4 | Frankston Blues | 21 | 15 | 6 | 2007 | 1901 | 0 |
| 5 | Knox Raiders | 21 | 14 | 7 | 2052 | 1914 | 0 |
| 6 | Keilor Thunder | 21 | 14 | 7 | 1967 | 1826 | 0 |
| 7 | Dandenong Rangers | 21 | 12 | 9 | 1999 | 1933 | 0 |
| 8 | Kilsyth Cobras | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1832 | 1824 | 0 |
| 9 | Casey Cavaliers | 21 | 11 | 10 | 1958 | 1912 | 0 |
| 10 | Sandringham Sabres | 21 | 11 | 10 | 1962 | 1889 | 0 |
| 11 | Ringwood Hawks | 21 | 10 | 11 | 1898 | 1997 | 0 |
| 12 | Waverley Falcons | 21 | 8 | 13 | 1871 | 1929 | 0 |
| 13 | Hobart Chargers | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1821 | 1922 | 0 |
| 14 | Northern Force | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1840 | 1986 | 0 |
| 15 | Bendigo Braves | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1682 | 1822 | 0 |
| 16 | Diamond Valley Eagles | 21 | 7 | 14 | 1907 | 1971 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1763 | 1931 | 0 |
| 18 | Mount Gambier Pioneers | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1872 | 2038 | 0 |
| 19 | Ballarat Miners | 21 | 3 | 18 | 1867 | 2191 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bendigo Braves | Keilor Thunder |
|---|---|---|
| Ringwood Hawks | 76-95 L | 88-82 W |
| Mount Gambier Pioneers | 70-88 L | 102-69 W |
| Sandringham Sabres | 102-110 L | 87-78 W |
| Casey Cavaliers | 84-96 L | 98-97 W |
| Eltham Wildcats | 81-86 L | 81-90 L |
| Melbourne Tigers | 65-85 L | 80-95 L |
| Waverley Falcons | 91-84 W | 96-86 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Keilor Thunder (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bendigo Braves
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Ringwood Hawks Australia NBL1 South |
76-95 | L |
| 04/07 | Mount Gambier Pioneers Australia NBL1 South |
70-88 | L |
| 28/06 | Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South |
102-110 | L |
| 27/06 | Casey Cavaliers Australia NBL1 South |
84-96 | L |
| 21/06 | Eltham Wildcats Australia NBL1 South |
81-86 | L |
| 20/06 | Melbourne Tigers Australia NBL1 South |
65-85 | L |
| 14/06 | Kilsyth Cobras Australia NBL1 South |
95-78 | W |
| 30/05 | Waverley Falcons Australia NBL1 South |
91-84 | W |
| 24/05 | Diamond Valley Eagles Australia NBL1 South |
75-90 | L |
| 23/05 | Frankston Blues Australia NBL1 South |
77-87 | L |
Keilor Thunder
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Mount Gambier Pioneers Australia NBL1 South |
102-69 | W |
| 05/07 | Casey Cavaliers Australia NBL1 South |
98-97 | W |
| 27/06 | Ringwood Hawks Australia NBL1 South |
88-82 | W |
| 21/06 | Waverley Falcons Australia NBL1 South |
96-86 | W |
| 20/06 | Eltham Wildcats Australia NBL1 South |
81-90 | L |
| 14/06 | Casey Cavaliers Australia NBL1 South |
78-67 | W |
| 13/06 | Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South |
87-78 | W |
| 05/06 | Ballarat Miners Australia NBL1 South |
116-98 | W |
| 30/05 | Melbourne Tigers Australia NBL1 South |
80-95 | L |
| 24/05 | Dandenong Rangers Australia NBL1 South |
94-79 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bendigo Braves vs Keilor Thunder?
Our model gives 59% to Keilor Thunder.
How many points are expected in Bendigo Braves vs Keilor Thunder?
The model estimates 173.2 total points (Bendigo Braves 85 · Keilor Thunder 88.2).