Basketball · Australia NBL1 South · 18/07, 11:00

Prediction: Geelong United vs Hobart Chargers

Prediction summary

Estimated points

183Total

Geelong United95.6

Hobart Chargers87.4

1X2

72% 28%

Geelong United Hobart Chargers

Recent form · 10 last

Geelong United 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Hobart Chargers 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Geelong United 3–3 Hobart Chargers (6 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points183Geelong United 95.6 · Hobart Chargers 87.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Geelong United (rating 1483 vs 1405).
Geelong United is a clear favourite (72% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Geelong United	Hobart Chargers
Points F\|A (Last 10)	85.3 / 90.3	87.7 / 103.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	85.8 / 94.8	82.8 / 103.8
Est. result	96	87

Est. total183

Line O/U180

Diff.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1801.88

Under 1801.79

Diff.: 3.6 · Est. total: 183.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.01 → 2.01	Pinn 2.01
2	1.68 → 1.68	Pinn 1.68

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
15:44 +2’	2.01	1.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Geelong United 3–0–3 Hobart Chargers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/25 Australia NBL1 South	Hobart Chargers	73-78	Geelong United
22/06/24 Australia NBL1 South	Geelong United	87-85	Hobart Chargers
12/05/23 Australia NBL1 South	Hobart Chargers	64-79	Geelong United
23/07/22 Australia NBL1 South	Geelong United	73-94	Hobart Chargers
02/07/21 Australia NBL1 South	Hobart Chargers	109-96	Geelong United
10/08/18 Australia SEABL	Hobart Chargers	86-71	Geelong United

Standings · Australia NBL1 South

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Eltham Wildcats	21	17	4	1906	1658
2	Nunawading Spectres	21	16	5	2145	1915
3	Melbourne Tigers	21	16	5	1940	1712
4	Frankston Blues	21	15	6	2007	1901
5	Knox Raiders	22	15	7	2173	2000
6	Keilor Thunder	22	15	7	2060	1895
7	Dandenong Rangers	21	12	9	1999	1933
8	Sandringham Sabres	22	12	10	2092	1969
9	Kilsyth Cobras	21	11	10	1908	1918
10	Casey Cavaliers	21	11	10	1958	1912
11	Ringwood Hawks	21	10	11	1898	1997
12	Waverley Falcons	21	8	13	1871	1929
13	Hobart Chargers	21	7	14	1907	2043
14	Diamond Valley Eagles	21	7	14	1907	1971
15	Northern Force	21	7	14	1920	2116
16	Bendigo Braves	21	7	14	1751	1915
17	Geelong United	21	6	15	1763	1931
18	Mount Gambier Pioneers	21	6	15	1872	2038
19	Ballarat Miners	21	3	18	1867	2191

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Geelong United	Hobart Chargers
Ringwood Hawks	92-94 L	88-97 L
Frankston Blues	62-100 L	102-106 L
Ballarat Miners	78-68 W	114-110 W
Waverley Falcons	99-88 W	92-94 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Geelong United (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Geelong United

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/07	Ringwood Hawks Australia NBL1 South	92-94	L
05/07	Diamond Valley Eagles Australia NBL1 South	92-85	W
04/07	Frankston Blues Australia NBL1 South	62-100	L
27/06	Nunawading Spectres Australia NBL1 South	100-106	L
21/06	Casey Cavaliers Australia NBL1 South	83-89	L
20/06	Ballarat Miners Australia NBL1 South	78-68	W
14/06	Mount Gambier Pioneers Australia NBL1 South	77-75	W
31/05	Dandenong Rangers Australia NBL1 South	88-97	L
30/05	Ballarat Miners Australia NBL1 South	82-101	L
24/05	Waverley Falcons Australia NBL1 South	99-88	W

Hobart Chargers

LWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/07	Knox Raiders Australia NBL1 South	86-121	L
11/07	Waverley Falcons Australia NBL1 South	92-94	L
03/07	Melbourne Tigers Australia NBL1 South	63-101	L
26/06	Eltham Wildcats Australia NBL1 South	87-97	L
20/06	Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South	86-106	L
14/06	Ringwood Hawks Australia NBL1 South	88-97	L
13/06	Frankston Blues Australia NBL1 South	102-106	L
30/05	Northern Force Australia NBL1 South	94-99	L
24/05	Ballarat Miners Australia NBL1 South	114-110	W
23/05	Eltham Wildcats Australia NBL1 South	65-108	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Geelong United vs Hobart Chargers?

Our model gives 72% to Geelong United.

How many points are expected in Geelong United vs Hobart Chargers?

The model estimates 183 total points (Geelong United 95.6 · Hobart Chargers 87.4).