Basketball · Australia NBL1 South · 11/07, 11:00
Prediction: Hobart Chargers vs Waverley Falcons
Prediction summary
Estimated points
186.3Total
Hobart Chargers92.5
Waverley Falcons93.7
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Hobart Chargers
Waverley Falcons
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Recent form · 10 last
Hobart Chargers
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Waverley Falcons
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hobart Chargers
1–4
Waverley Falcons
(5 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points186.3Hobart Chargers 92.5 · Waverley Falcons 93.7
Match keys
- H2H favours Waverley Falcons: 4-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Hobart Chargers | Waverley Falcons | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 90 / 100 | 90.1 / 96.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 85.2 / 101.4 | 93.8 / 98.8 |
| Est. result | 93 | 94 |
Est. total186.3
Line O/U184.5
Diff.1.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hobart Chargers 1–0–4 Waverley Falcons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Australia NBL1 South | Waverley Falcons | 90-75 | Hobart Chargers |
| 28/06/25 Australia NBL1 South | Waverley Falcons | 97-90 | Hobart Chargers |
| 13/04/24 Australia NBL1 South | Hobart Chargers | 85-93 | Waverley Falcons |
| 18/06/23 Australia NBL1 South | Waverley Falcons | 95-87 | Hobart Chargers |
| 29/07/22 Australia NBL1 South | Hobart Chargers | 93-66 | Waverley Falcons |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eltham Wildcats | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1728 | 1505 | 0 |
| 2 | Nunawading Spectres | 21 | 16 | 5 | 2145 | 1915 | 0 |
| 3 | Melbourne Tigers | 21 | 16 | 5 | 1940 | 1712 | 0 |
| 4 | Frankston Blues | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1899 | 1800 | 0 |
| 5 | Knox Raiders | 19 | 13 | 6 | 1873 | 1741 | 0 |
| 6 | Keilor Thunder | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1865 | 1757 | 0 |
| 7 | Kilsyth Cobras | 19 | 11 | 8 | 1743 | 1722 | 0 |
| 8 | Dandenong Rangers | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1910 | 1849 | 0 |
| 9 | Casey Cavaliers | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1874 | 1823 | 0 |
| 10 | Sandringham Sabres | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1855 | 1778 | 0 |
| 11 | Ringwood Hawks | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1709 | 1829 | 0 |
| 12 | Hobart Chargers | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1729 | 1828 | 0 |
| 13 | Waverley Falcons | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1693 | 1733 | 0 |
| 14 | Bendigo Braves | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1606 | 1727 | 0 |
| 15 | Diamond Valley Eagles | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1806 | 1863 | 0 |
| 16 | Northern Force | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1736 | 1902 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United | 20 | 6 | 14 | 1671 | 1837 | 0 |
| 18 | Mount Gambier Pioneers | 20 | 6 | 14 | 1803 | 1936 | 0 |
| 19 | Ballarat Miners | 20 | 2 | 18 | 1756 | 2084 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hobart Chargers | Waverley Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Sandringham Sabres | 86-106 L | 91-101 L |
| Frankston Blues | 102-106 L | 78-95 L |
| Northern Force | 94-99 L | 84-104 L |
| Ballarat Miners | 114-110 W | 130-98 W |
| Diamond Valley Eagles | 107-78 W | 85-100 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Hobart Chargers (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hobart Chargers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Melbourne Tigers Australia NBL1 South |
63-101 | L |
| 26/06 | Eltham Wildcats Australia NBL1 South |
87-97 | L |
| 20/06 | Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South |
86-106 | L |
| 14/06 | Ringwood Hawks Australia NBL1 South |
88-97 | L |
| 13/06 | Frankston Blues Australia NBL1 South |
102-106 | L |
| 30/05 | Northern Force Australia NBL1 South |
94-99 | L |
| 24/05 | Ballarat Miners Australia NBL1 South |
114-110 | W |
| 23/05 | Eltham Wildcats Australia NBL1 South |
65-108 | L |
| 16/05 | Diamond Valley Eagles Australia NBL1 South |
107-78 | W |
| 15/05 | Dandenong Rangers Australia NBL1 South |
94-98 | L |
Waverley Falcons
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Northern Force Australia NBL1 South |
84-104 | L |
| 05/07 | Frankston Blues Australia NBL1 South |
78-95 | L |
| 03/07 | Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South |
91-101 | L |
| 27/06 | Ballarat Miners Australia NBL1 South |
130-98 | W |
| 21/06 | Keilor Thunder Australia NBL1 South |
86-96 | L |
| 20/06 | Knox Raiders Australia NBL1 South |
102-94 | W |
| 13/06 | Nunawading Spectres Australia NBL1 South |
73-88 | L |
| 08/06 | Diamond Valley Eagles Australia NBL1 South |
85-100 | L |
| 30/05 | Bendigo Braves Australia NBL1 South |
84-91 | L |
| 24/05 | Geelong United Australia NBL1 South |
88-99 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hobart Chargers vs Waverley Falcons?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Hobart Chargers 58% · Waverley Falcons 42%).
How many points are expected in Hobart Chargers vs Waverley Falcons?
The model estimates 186.3 total points (Hobart Chargers 92.5 · Waverley Falcons 93.7).