Basketball · Australia NBL1 South · 17/07, 12:30
Prediction: Knox Raiders vs Hobart Chargers
Prediction summary
Estimated points
188.8Total
Knox Raiders99.4
Hobart Chargers89.5
1X2
Knox Raiders
Hobart Chargers
Recent form · 10 last
Knox Raiders
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Hobart Chargers
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Knox Raiders
3–3
Hobart Chargers
(6 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points188.8Knox Raiders 99.4 · Hobart Chargers 89.5
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Knox Raiders (rating 1531 vs 1422).
- Knox Raiders is a clear favourite (76% market).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Knox Raiders | Hobart Chargers | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 95.5 / 92 | 89.8 / 99.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 91 / 87.4 | 83.2 / 99 |
| Est. result | 99 | 90 |
Est. total188.8
Line O/U188
Diff.0.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Knox Raiders 3–0–3 Hobart Chargers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/25 Australia NBL1 South | Hobart Chargers | 90-94 | Knox Raiders |
| 03/05/25 Australia NBL1 South | Knox Raiders | 88-65 | Hobart Chargers |
| 19/05/24 Australia NBL1 South | Knox Raiders | 91-80 | Hobart Chargers |
| 22/04/23 Australia NBL1 South | Hobart Chargers | 76-73 | Knox Raiders |
| 16/07/22 Australia NBL1 South | Hobart Chargers | 103-83 | Knox Raiders |
| 11/07/21 Australia NBL1 South | Knox Raiders | 87-92 | Hobart Chargers |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eltham Wildcats | 20 | 16 | 4 | 1812 | 1582 | 0 |
| 2 | Nunawading Spectres | 21 | 16 | 5 | 2145 | 1915 | 0 |
| 3 | Melbourne Tigers | 21 | 16 | 5 | 1940 | 1712 | 0 |
| 4 | Frankston Blues | 21 | 15 | 6 | 2007 | 1901 | 0 |
| 5 | Knox Raiders | 21 | 14 | 7 | 2052 | 1914 | 0 |
| 6 | Keilor Thunder | 21 | 14 | 7 | 1967 | 1826 | 0 |
| 7 | Dandenong Rangers | 21 | 12 | 9 | 1999 | 1933 | 0 |
| 8 | Kilsyth Cobras | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1832 | 1824 | 0 |
| 9 | Casey Cavaliers | 21 | 11 | 10 | 1958 | 1912 | 0 |
| 10 | Sandringham Sabres | 21 | 11 | 10 | 1962 | 1889 | 0 |
| 11 | Ringwood Hawks | 21 | 10 | 11 | 1898 | 1997 | 0 |
| 12 | Waverley Falcons | 21 | 8 | 13 | 1871 | 1929 | 0 |
| 13 | Hobart Chargers | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1821 | 1922 | 0 |
| 14 | Northern Force | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1840 | 1986 | 0 |
| 15 | Bendigo Braves | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1682 | 1822 | 0 |
| 16 | Diamond Valley Eagles | 21 | 7 | 14 | 1907 | 1971 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1763 | 1931 | 0 |
| 18 | Mount Gambier Pioneers | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1872 | 2038 | 0 |
| 19 | Ballarat Miners | 21 | 3 | 18 | 1867 | 2191 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Knox Raiders | Hobart Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Eltham Wildcats | 77-84 L | 87-97 L |
| Frankston Blues | 85-86 L | 102-106 L |
| Waverley Falcons | 94-102 L | 92-94 L |
| Ringwood Hawks | 104-101 W | 88-97 L |
| Ballarat Miners | 109-92 W | 114-110 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Knox Raiders (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Knox Raiders
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Kilsyth Cobras Australia NBL1 South |
102-89 | W |
| 10/07 | Eltham Wildcats Australia NBL1 South |
77-84 | L |
| 03/07 | Mount Gambier Pioneers Australia NBL1 South |
97-76 | W |
| 27/06 | Frankston Blues Australia NBL1 South |
85-86 | L |
| 20/06 | Waverley Falcons Australia NBL1 South |
94-102 | L |
| 14/06 | Nunawading Spectres Australia NBL1 South |
104-95 | W |
| 13/06 | Ringwood Hawks Australia NBL1 South |
104-101 | W |
| 31/05 | Ballarat Miners Australia NBL1 South |
109-92 | W |
| 30/05 | Kilsyth Cobras Australia NBL1 South |
96-93 | W |
| 23/05 | Dandenong Rangers Australia NBL1 South |
87-102 | L |
Hobart Chargers
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Waverley Falcons Australia NBL1 South |
92-94 | L |
| 03/07 | Melbourne Tigers Australia NBL1 South |
63-101 | L |
| 26/06 | Eltham Wildcats Australia NBL1 South |
87-97 | L |
| 20/06 | Sandringham Sabres Australia NBL1 South |
86-106 | L |
| 14/06 | Ringwood Hawks Australia NBL1 South |
88-97 | L |
| 13/06 | Frankston Blues Australia NBL1 South |
102-106 | L |
| 30/05 | Northern Force Australia NBL1 South |
94-99 | L |
| 24/05 | Ballarat Miners Australia NBL1 South |
114-110 | W |
| 23/05 | Eltham Wildcats Australia NBL1 South |
65-108 | L |
| 16/05 | Diamond Valley Eagles Australia NBL1 South |
107-78 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Knox Raiders vs Hobart Chargers?
Our model gives 76% to Knox Raiders.
How many points are expected in Knox Raiders vs Hobart Chargers?
The model estimates 188.8 total points (Knox Raiders 99.4 · Hobart Chargers 89.5).