Prediction: Southern District Spartans (W) vs Cairns Dolphins (W)
Estimated 161.7 total points (Southern District Spartans (W) 78.3 · Cairns Dolphins (W) 83.4).
Recent form leaves Southern District Spartans (W) with 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Cairns Dolphins (W) has piled up 9-0-1 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for Southern District Spartans (W) and 1 for Cairns Dolphins (W).
| Southern District Spartans (W) | Cairns Dolphins (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cairns Dolphins (W) (rating 1528 vs 1599).
- H2H favours Southern District Spartans (W): 5-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Southern District Spartans (W) | Cairns Dolphins (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81 / 76.1 | 89.5 / 76.3 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 86.2 / 80.4 | 90.2 / 79.2 |
| Est. result | 78 | 83 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Southern District Spartans (W) 5–0–1 Cairns Dolphins (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/25 Australia NBL1 North Women | Cairns Dolphins (W) | 78-63 | Southern District Spartans (W) |
| 01/06/24 Australia NBL1 North Women | Southern District Spartans (W) | 101-84 | Cairns Dolphins (W) |
| 06/05/23 Australia NBL1 North Women | Cairns Dolphins (W) | 75-90 | Southern District Spartans (W) |
| 24/07/22 Australia NBL1 North Women | Southern District Spartans (W) | 89-56 | Cairns Dolphins (W) |
| 11/06/21 Australia NBL1 North Women | Cairns Dolphins (W) | 60-114 | Southern District Spartans (W) |
| 27/04/19 Australia QBL Women | Southern District Spartans (W) | 80-59 | Cairns Dolphins (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 North Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cairns Dolphins (W) | 12 | 11 | 1 | 1095 | 885 | 0 |
| 2 | Logan Thunder (W) | 11 | 10 | 1 | 956 | 786 | 0 |
| 3 | Southern District Spartans (W) | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1178 | 1047 | 0 |
| 4 | Mackay Meteorettes (W) | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1097 | 939 | 0 |
| 5 | Townsville Heat (W) | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1007 | 936 | 0 |
| 6 | Northside Wizards (W) | 12 | 8 | 4 | 1011 | 947 | 0 |
| 7 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) | 12 | 6 | 6 | 954 | 930 | 0 |
| 8 | North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) | 12 | 5 | 7 | 967 | 1011 | 0 |
| 9 | Rockhampton Cyclones (W) | 12 | 3 | 9 | 911 | 1024 | 0 |
| 10 | Gold Coast Rollers (W) | 12 | 3 | 9 | 833 | 957 | 0 |
| 11 | Brisbane Capitals (W) | 13 | 3 | 10 | 970 | 1141 | 0 |
| 12 | South West Metro Pirates (W) | 13 | 3 | 10 | 861 | 1040 | 0 |
| 13 | Ipswich Force (W) | 13 | 2 | 11 | 909 | 1106 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Southern District Spartans (W) | Cairns Dolphins (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) | 96-74 W | 88-68 W |
| Ipswich Force (W) | 105-65 W | 99-52 W |
| Gold Coast Rollers (W) | 90-68 W | 87-78 W |
| Townsville Heat (W) | 69-104 L | 69-91 L |
| Northside Wizards (W) | 73-65 W | 93-73 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cairns Dolphins (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Southern District Spartans (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
96-74 | W |
| 20/06 | Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
105-65 | W |
| 13/06 | Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
71-91 | L |
| 12/06 | Gold Coast Rollers (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
90-68 | W |
| 07/06 | Townsville Heat (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
69-104 | L |
| 31/05 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
65-85 | L |
| 23/05 | Northside Wizards (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
73-65 | W |
| 16/05 | North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
77-70 | W |
| 09/05 | Northside Wizards (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
82-86 | L |
| 08/05 | South West Metro Pirates (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
82-53 | W |
Cairns Dolphins (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
99-52 | W |
| 20/06 | Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
90-81 | W |
| 19/06 | Townsville Heat (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
69-91 | L |
| 13/06 | Brisbane Capitals (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
90-82 | W |
| 12/06 | Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
103-90 | W |
| 30/05 | Gold Coast Rollers (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
87-78 | W |
| 23/05 | Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
84-81 | W |
| 09/05 | Townsville Heat (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
92-67 | W |
| 02/05 | Northside Wizards (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
93-73 | W |
| 01/05 | Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women |
88-68 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Southern District Spartans (W) vs Cairns Dolphins (W)?
Our model gives 58% to Cairns Dolphins (W).
How many points are expected in Southern District Spartans (W) vs Cairns Dolphins (W)?
The model estimates 161.7 total points (Southern District Spartans (W) 78.3 · Cairns Dolphins (W) 83.4).