Basketball · Australia NBL1 North Women · 24/07, 11:00

Prediction: Townsville Heat (W) vs Southern District Spartans (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.2Total

Townsville Heat (W)84.1

Southern District Spartans (W)77.1

1X2

69% 31%

Townsville Heat (W) Southern District Spartans (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Townsville Heat (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Southern District Spartans (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Townsville Heat (W) 4–2 Southern District Spartans (W) (6 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points161.2Townsville Heat (W) 84.1 · Southern District Spartans (W) 77.1

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Townsville Heat (W) (rating 1575 vs 1522).
Townsville Heat (W) is a clear favourite (69% market).
H2H favours Townsville Heat (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Townsville Heat (W)	Southern District Spartans (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	90.6 / 72.7	80.8 / 78.3
Points F\|A (Last 5)	93.4 / 74.8	86.8 / 78.2
Est. result	84	77

Est. total161.2

Line O/U163

Diff.1.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1631.83

Under 1631.84

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 161.2

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.04 → 2.04	Pinn 2.04
2	1.66 → 1.66	Pinn 1.66

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	2
11:43 +2’	2.04	1.66

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Townsville Heat (W) 4–0–2 Southern District Spartans (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Australia NBL1 North Women	Southern District Spartans (W)	69-104	Townsville Heat (W)
13/06/25 Australia NBL1 North Women	Townsville Heat (W)	43-60	Southern District Spartans (W)
28/06/24 Australia NBL1 North Women	Southern District Spartans (W)	83-74	Townsville Heat (W)
05/05/23 Australia NBL1 North Women	Townsville Heat (W)	85-77	Southern District Spartans (W)
09/09/22 Australia NBL1 Women	Southern District Spartans (W)	67-80	Townsville Heat (W)
20/08/22 Australia NBL1 North Women	Southern District Spartans (W)	81-108	Townsville Heat (W)

Standings · Australia NBL1 North Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Logan Thunder (W)	16	14	2	1400	1188
2	Cairns Dolphins (W)	16	13	3	1441	1222
3	Mackay Meteorettes (W)	16	11	5	1435	1219
4	Southern District Spartans (W)	16	11	5	1340	1208
5	Townsville Heat (W)	16	11	5	1377	1251
6	Northside Wizards (W)	16	11	5	1344	1241
7	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W)	16	7	9	1265	1277
8	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)	16	7	9	1293	1343
9	Gold Coast Rollers (W)	16	5	11	1126	1249
10	Rockhampton Cyclones (W)	16	5	11	1241	1396
11	Brisbane Capitals (W)	16	3	13	1173	1393
12	South West Metro Pirates (W)	16	3	13	1060	1282
13	Ipswich Force (W)	16	3	13	1135	1361

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Townsville Heat (W)	Southern District Spartans (W)
Logan Thunder (W)	91-84 W	71-91 L
Ipswich Force (W)	97-59 W	105-65 W
Cairns Dolphins (W)	91-69 W	79-86 L
North Gold Coast Seahawks (W)	75-83 L	77-70 W
Brisbane Capitals (W)	93-71 W	83-75 W
Gold Coast Rollers (W)	76-61 W	90-68 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Townsville Heat (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	111-70	W
11/07	Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	91-84	W
04/07	Rockhampton Cyclones (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	80-83	L
03/07	Mackay Meteorettes (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	88-78	W
27/06	Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	97-59	W
19/06	Cairns Dolphins (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	91-69	W
13/06	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	75-83	L
07/06	Southern District Spartans (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	104-69	W
06/06	Brisbane Capitals (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	93-71	W
29/05	Gold Coast Rollers (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	76-61	W

Southern District Spartans (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/07	Brisbane Capitals (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	83-75	W
03/07	Cairns Dolphins (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	79-86	L
27/06	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	96-74	W
20/06	Ipswich Force (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	105-65	W
13/06	Logan Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	71-91	L
12/06	Gold Coast Rollers (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	90-68	W
07/06	Townsville Heat (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	69-104	L
31/05	Sunshine Coast Phoenix (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	65-85	L
23/05	Northside Wizards (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	73-65	W
16/05	North Gold Coast Seahawks (W) Australia NBL1 North Women	77-70	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Townsville Heat (W) vs Southern District Spartans (W)?

Our model gives 69% to Townsville Heat (W).

How many points are expected in Townsville Heat (W) vs Southern District Spartans (W)?

The model estimates 161.2 total points (Townsville Heat (W) 84.1 · Southern District Spartans (W) 77.1).