Basketball · Australia NBL1 South Women · 10/07, 10:30
Prediction: Northern Force (W) vs Waverley Falcons (W)
Estimated 157.3 total points (Northern Force (W) 76 · Waverley Falcons (W) 81.2).
Over its last 10 matches, Northern Force (W) sits at 6-0-4 (W-D-L), while Waverley Falcons (W) arrives on a 8-0-2 run.
53%1
Model analysis
Estimated points157.3Northern Force (W) 76 · Waverley Falcons (W) 81.2
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Waverley Falcons (W) (rating 1505 vs 1575).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Northern Force (W) | Waverley Falcons (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 81.1 / 82.3 | 79 / 70.8 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 77.4 / 87.4 | 80 / 73 |
| Est. result | 76 | 81 |
Est. total157.3
Line O/U153
Diff.4.3
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Standings · Australia NBL1 South Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knox Raiders (W) | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1569 | 1324 | 0 |
| 2 | Eltham Wildcats (W) | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1642 | 1455 | 0 |
| 3 | Sandringham Sabres (W) | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1523 | 1327 | 0 |
| 4 | Casey Cavaliers (W) | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1733 | 1595 | 0 |
| 5 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1776 | 1587 | 0 |
| 6 | Keilor Thunder (W) | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1530 | 1425 | 0 |
| 7 | Waverley Falcons (W) | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1464 | 1356 | 0 |
| 8 | Melbourne Tigers (W) | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1554 | 1538 | 0 |
| 9 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1687 | 1612 | 0 |
| 10 | Ballarat Miners (W) | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1699 | 1616 | 0 |
| 11 | Dandenong Rangers (W) | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1580 | 1589 | 0 |
| 12 | Northern Force (W) | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1495 | 1570 | 0 |
| 13 | Nunawading Spectres (W) | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1534 | 1621 | 0 |
| 14 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1367 | 1490 | 0 |
| 15 | Hobart Chargers (W) | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1472 | 1635 | 0 |
| 16 | Bendigo Braves (W) | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1487 | 1698 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United (W) | 20 | 5 | 15 | 1454 | 1704 | 0 |
| 18 | Frankston Blues (W) | 20 | 5 | 15 | 1379 | 1511 | 0 |
| 19 | Ringwood Hawks (W) | 19 | 3 | 16 | 1407 | 1699 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Northern Force (W) | Waverley Falcons (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sandringham Sabres (W) | 99-81 W | 95-61 W |
| Ballarat Miners (W) | 75-77 L | 79-80 L |
| Frankston Blues (W) | 72-68 W | 66-61 W |
| Geelong United (W) | 88-80 W | 72-67 W |
| Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 92-91 W | 71-62 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Waverley Falcons (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Northern Force (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Melbourne Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
51-73 | L |
| 27/06 | Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
72-97 | L |
| 19/06 | Sandringham Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
99-81 | W |
| 14/06 | Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
75-77 | L |
| 12/06 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
90-109 | L |
| 30/05 | Hobart Chargers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
74-64 | W |
| 24/05 | Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
72-68 | W |
| 23/05 | Geelong United (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
88-80 | W |
| 16/05 | Dandenong Rangers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
98-83 | W |
| 15/05 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
92-91 | W |
Waverley Falcons (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
66-61 | W |
| 03/07 | Sandringham Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
95-61 | W |
| 27/06 | Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
79-80 | L |
| 21/06 | Keilor Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
85-82 | W |
| 20/06 | Knox Raiders (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
75-81 | L |
| 13/06 | Nunawading Spectres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
86-78 | W |
| 08/06 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
71-62 | W |
| 30/05 | Bendigo Braves (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
91-70 | W |
| 24/05 | Geelong United (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
72-67 | W |
| 16/05 | Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
70-66 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Northern Force (W) vs Waverley Falcons (W)?
Our model gives 53% to Northern Force (W).
How many points are expected in Northern Force (W) vs Waverley Falcons (W)?
The model estimates 157.3 total points (Northern Force (W) 76 · Waverley Falcons (W) 81.2).