Basketball · Australia NBL1 South Women · 18/07, 09:00

Prediction: Geelong United (W) vs Hobart Chargers (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

161.6Total

Geelong United (W)83.9

Hobart Chargers (W)77.7

1X2

67% 33%

Geelong United (W) Hobart Chargers (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Geelong United (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Hobart Chargers (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Geelong United (W) 4–2 Hobart Chargers (W) (6 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points161.6Geelong United (W) 83.9 · Hobart Chargers (W) 77.7

Match keys

Geelong United (W) is a clear favourite (67% market).
H2H favours Geelong United (W): 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Geelong United (W)	Hobart Chargers (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	77.8 / 83.5	74.4 / 85.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	80.2 / 82.4	69.6 / 84
Est. result	84	78

Est. total161.6

Line O/U161

Diff.0.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1611.86

Under 1611.81

Diff.: 0.35 · Est. total: 160.65

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.83
2	1.84 → 1.84	Pinn 1.84

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	2
12:45	1.83	1.84

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Geelong United (W) 4–0–2 Hobart Chargers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/25 Australia NBL1 South Women	Hobart Chargers (W)	62-91	Geelong United (W)
22/06/24 Australia NBL1 South Women	Geelong United (W)	76-57	Hobart Chargers (W)
12/05/23 Australia NBL1 South Women	Hobart Chargers (W)	73-81	Geelong United (W)
23/07/22 Australia NBL1 South Women	Geelong United (W)	69-73	Hobart Chargers (W)
02/07/21 Australia NBL1 South Women	Hobart Chargers (W)	69-98	Geelong United (W)
06/05/18 Australia SEABL Women	Hobart Chargers (W)	63-57	Geelong United (W)

Standings · Australia NBL1 South Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Knox Raiders (W)	22	18	4	1826	1512
2	Eltham Wildcats (W)	20	15	5	1703	1545
3	Keilor Thunder (W)	22	15	7	1725	1540
4	Sandringham Sabres (W)	22	15	7	1738	1548
5	Casey Cavaliers (W)	21	14	7	1799	1693
6	Waverley Falcons (W)	21	14	7	1638	1489
7	Diamond Valley Eagles (W)	21	14	7	1885	1650
8	Melbourne Tigers (W)	21	13	8	1628	1604
9	Ballarat Miners (W)	21	12	9	1773	1679
10	Mount Gambier Pioneers (W)	21	11	10	1744	1695
11	Dandenong Rangers (W)	21	10	11	1678	1655
12	Nunawading Spectres (W)	21	8	13	1616	1715
13	Northern Force (W)	21	8	13	1632	1742
14	Kilsyth Cobras (W)	20	7	13	1529	1661
15	Bendigo Braves (W)	21	6	15	1644	1900
16	Hobart Chargers (W)	21	6	15	1600	1801
17	Geelong United (W)	21	6	15	1541	1771
18	Frankston Blues (W)	21	5	16	1442	1620
19	Ringwood Hawks (W)	21	3	18	1564	1885

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Geelong United (W)	Hobart Chargers (W)
Ringwood Hawks (W)	87-67 W	84-96 L
Frankston Blues (W)	80-75 W	73-70 W
Ballarat Miners (W)	86-81 W	98-94 W
Waverley Falcons (W)	67-72 L	69-88 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Geelong United (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Geelong United (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/07	Ringwood Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	87-67	W
05/07	Diamond Valley Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	82-90	L
04/07	Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	80-75	W
27/06	Nunawading Spectres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	74-82	L
21/06	Casey Cavaliers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	78-98	L
20/06	Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	86-81	W
14/06	Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	66-93	L
31/05	Dandenong Rangers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	85-82	W
30/05	Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	73-95	L
24/05	Waverley Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	67-72	L

Hobart Chargers (W)

LWLWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/07	Knox Raiders (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	59-78	L
11/07	Waverley Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	69-88	L
03/07	Melbourne Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	70-85	L
26/06	Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	79-89	L
20/06	Sandringham Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	71-80	L
14/06	Ringwood Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	84-96	L
13/06	Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	73-70	W
30/05	Northern Force (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	64-74	L
24/05	Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	98-94	W
23/05	Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	77-102	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Geelong United (W) vs Hobart Chargers (W)?

Our model gives 67% to Geelong United (W).

How many points are expected in Geelong United (W) vs Hobart Chargers (W)?

The model estimates 161.6 total points (Geelong United (W) 83.9 · Hobart Chargers (W) 77.7).