Basketball · Australia NBL1 South Women · 18/07, 09:30

Prediction: Casey Cavaliers (W) vs Northern Force (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

162.6Total

Casey Cavaliers (W)85.2

Northern Force (W)77.4

1X2

71% 29%

Casey Cavaliers (W) Northern Force (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Casey Cavaliers (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWLWL

Northern Force (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Casey Cavaliers (W) 1–0 Northern Force (W) (1 last)

Model analysis

Estimated points162.6Casey Cavaliers (W) 85.2 · Northern Force (W) 77.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Casey Cavaliers (W) (rating 1522 vs 1454).
Casey Cavaliers (W) is a clear favourite (71% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Casey Cavaliers (W)	Northern Force (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	82.5 / 82.3	75.8 / 82.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	81.2 / 79.4	71.8 / 84.6
Est. result	85	77

Est. total162.6

Line O/U165

Diff.2.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 1651.83

Under 1651.84

Diff.: 3.65 · Est. total: 161.35

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:45

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.09▼	Pinn 1.09
2	3.97 → 4.92▲	Pinn 4.92

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	2
12:45 +1’	1.15	3.97
13:44 +1’	1.09▼	4.92▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Casey Cavaliers (W) 1–0–0 Northern Force (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia NBL1 South Women	Northern Force (W)	84-88	Casey Cavaliers (W)

Standings · Australia NBL1 South Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA
1	Knox Raiders (W)	22	18	4	1826	1512
2	Eltham Wildcats (W)	20	15	5	1703	1545
3	Keilor Thunder (W)	22	15	7	1725	1540
4	Sandringham Sabres (W)	22	15	7	1738	1548
5	Casey Cavaliers (W)	21	14	7	1799	1693
6	Waverley Falcons (W)	21	14	7	1638	1489
7	Diamond Valley Eagles (W)	21	14	7	1885	1650
8	Melbourne Tigers (W)	21	13	8	1628	1604
9	Ballarat Miners (W)	21	12	9	1773	1679
10	Mount Gambier Pioneers (W)	21	11	10	1744	1695
11	Dandenong Rangers (W)	21	10	11	1678	1655
12	Nunawading Spectres (W)	21	8	13	1616	1715
13	Northern Force (W)	21	8	13	1632	1742
14	Kilsyth Cobras (W)	20	7	13	1529	1661
15	Bendigo Braves (W)	21	6	15	1644	1900
16	Hobart Chargers (W)	21	6	15	1600	1801
17	Geelong United (W)	21	6	15	1541	1771
18	Frankston Blues (W)	21	5	16	1442	1620
19	Ringwood Hawks (W)	21	3	18	1564	1885

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Casey Cavaliers (W)	Northern Force (W)
Geelong United (W)	98-78 W	88-80 W
Ballarat Miners (W)	78-95 L	75-77 L
Melbourne Tigers (W)	83-70 W	51-73 L
Mount Gambier Pioneers (W)	84-81 W	90-109 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Casey Cavaliers (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Casey Cavaliers (W)

WWLLWWWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/07	Dandenong Rangers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	66-98	L
05/07	Keilor Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	59-49	W
04/07	Kilsyth Cobras (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	92-105	L
27/06	Bendigo Braves (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	91-67	W
21/06	Geelong United (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	98-78	W
20/06	Diamond Valley Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	101-96	W
14/06	Keilor Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	73-84	L
13/06	Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	78-95	L
05/06	Melbourne Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	83-70	W
23/05	Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	84-81	W

Northern Force (W)

WWWLLWLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/07	Sandringham Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	73-86	L
10/07	Waverley Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	64-86	L
04/07	Melbourne Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	51-73	L
27/06	Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	72-97	L
19/06	Sandringham Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	99-81	W
14/06	Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	75-77	L
12/06	Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	90-109	L
30/05	Hobart Chargers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	74-64	W
24/05	Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	72-68	W
23/05	Geelong United (W) Australia NBL1 South Women	88-80	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Casey Cavaliers (W) vs Northern Force (W)?

Our model gives 71% to Casey Cavaliers (W).

How many points are expected in Casey Cavaliers (W) vs Northern Force (W)?

The model estimates 162.6 total points (Casey Cavaliers (W) 85.2 · Northern Force (W) 77.4).