Basketball · Australia NBL1 South Women · 17/07, 10:30
Prediction: Bendigo Braves (W) vs Keilor Thunder (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
163.1Total
Bendigo Braves (W)81.2
Keilor Thunder (W)81.9
1X2
Even — no clear favourite
Bendigo Braves (W)
Keilor Thunder (W)
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
Markets
Over 154.5 points 80%
Recent form · 10 last
Bendigo Braves (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Keilor Thunder (W)
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bendigo Braves (W)
2–2
Keilor Thunder (W)
(4 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points163.1Bendigo Braves (W) 81.2 · Keilor Thunder (W) 81.9
Over / Under 154.5Over · 80%recent trend · ~160.6 pts · strength 6
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Bendigo Braves (W) | Keilor Thunder (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.8 / 91.1 | 81.1 / 73.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 74.4 / 94.6 | 78.4 / 70.4 |
| Est. result | 81 | 82 |
Est. total163.1
Line O/U154.5
Diff.8.6
Over / Under80% / 20%
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bendigo Braves (W) 2–0–2 Keilor Thunder (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/25 Australia NBL1 South Women | Bendigo Braves (W) | 77-84 | Keilor Thunder (W) |
| 22/06/24 Australia NBL1 South Women | Bendigo Braves (W) | 65-79 | Keilor Thunder (W) |
| 25/06/23 Australia NBL1 South Women | Keilor Thunder (W) | 54-72 | Bendigo Braves (W) |
| 23/04/22 Australia NBL1 South Women | Keilor Thunder (W) | 64-86 | Bendigo Braves (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knox Raiders (W) | 21 | 17 | 4 | 1748 | 1453 | 0 |
| 2 | Eltham Wildcats (W) | 20 | 15 | 5 | 1703 | 1545 | 0 |
| 3 | Sandringham Sabres (W) | 21 | 14 | 7 | 1652 | 1475 | 0 |
| 4 | Waverley Falcons (W) | 21 | 14 | 7 | 1638 | 1489 | 0 |
| 5 | Casey Cavaliers (W) | 21 | 14 | 7 | 1799 | 1693 | 0 |
| 6 | Keilor Thunder (W) | 21 | 14 | 7 | 1613 | 1482 | 0 |
| 7 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 21 | 14 | 7 | 1885 | 1650 | 0 |
| 8 | Melbourne Tigers (W) | 21 | 13 | 8 | 1628 | 1604 | 0 |
| 9 | Ballarat Miners (W) | 21 | 12 | 9 | 1773 | 1679 | 0 |
| 10 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) | 21 | 11 | 10 | 1744 | 1695 | 0 |
| 11 | Dandenong Rangers (W) | 21 | 10 | 11 | 1678 | 1655 | 0 |
| 12 | Northern Force (W) | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1559 | 1656 | 0 |
| 13 | Nunawading Spectres (W) | 21 | 8 | 13 | 1616 | 1715 | 0 |
| 14 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) | 20 | 7 | 13 | 1529 | 1661 | 0 |
| 15 | Hobart Chargers (W) | 20 | 6 | 14 | 1541 | 1723 | 0 |
| 16 | Bendigo Braves (W) | 20 | 6 | 14 | 1586 | 1788 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United (W) | 21 | 6 | 15 | 1541 | 1771 | 0 |
| 18 | Frankston Blues (W) | 21 | 5 | 16 | 1442 | 1620 | 0 |
| 19 | Ringwood Hawks (W) | 21 | 3 | 18 | 1564 | 1885 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bendigo Braves (W) | Keilor Thunder (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ringwood Hawks (W) | 99-90 W | 86-85 W |
| Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) | 68-94 L | 83-57 W |
| Sandringham Sabres (W) | 65-106 L | 82-63 W |
| Casey Cavaliers (W) | 67-91 L | 49-59 L |
| Eltham Wildcats (W) | 73-92 L | 92-66 W |
| Melbourne Tigers (W) | 78-81 L | 82-80 W |
| Waverley Falcons (W) | 70-91 L | 82-85 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 6 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Keilor Thunder (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bendigo Braves (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Ringwood Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
99-90 | W |
| 04/07 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
68-94 | L |
| 28/06 | Sandringham Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
65-106 | L |
| 27/06 | Casey Cavaliers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
67-91 | L |
| 21/06 | Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
73-92 | L |
| 20/06 | Melbourne Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
78-81 | L |
| 14/06 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
89-79 | W |
| 30/05 | Waverley Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
70-91 | L |
| 24/05 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
93-109 | L |
| 23/05 | Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
86-78 | W |
Keilor Thunder (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
83-57 | W |
| 05/07 | Casey Cavaliers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
49-59 | L |
| 27/06 | Ringwood Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
86-85 | W |
| 21/06 | Waverley Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
82-85 | L |
| 20/06 | Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
92-66 | W |
| 14/06 | Casey Cavaliers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
84-73 | W |
| 13/06 | Sandringham Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
82-63 | W |
| 05/06 | Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
81-73 | W |
| 30/05 | Melbourne Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
82-80 | W |
| 24/05 | Dandenong Rangers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
90-95 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bendigo Braves (W) vs Keilor Thunder (W)?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Bendigo Braves (W) 48% · Keilor Thunder (W) 52%).
How many points are expected in Bendigo Braves (W) vs Keilor Thunder (W)?
The model estimates 163.1 total points (Bendigo Braves (W) 81.2 · Keilor Thunder (W) 81.9).
Over or under 154.5 points?
Recent history points to over 154.5 points (80%).