Prediction: Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) vs Keilor Thunder (W)
Estimated 159.1 total points (Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) 79.3 · Keilor Thunder (W) 79.8). Over 151 points (75% of recent history, magic 6).
Over its last 10 matches, Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) sits at 5-0-5 (W-D-L), while Keilor Thunder (W) arrives on a 7-0-3 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) and 2 for Keilor Thunder (W).
Match keys
- H2H favours Mount Gambier Pioneers (W): 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) | Keilor Thunder (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 84 / 77.6 | 82 / 75 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 78.2 / 79.4 | 78.6 / 73.6 |
| Est. result | 79 | 80 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) 3–0–2 Keilor Thunder (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/25 Australia NBL1 South Women | Keilor Thunder (W) | 100-70 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) |
| 07/06/24 Australia NBL1 South Women | Keilor Thunder (W) | 78-73 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) |
| 26/04/24 Australia NBL1 South Women | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) | 80-55 | Keilor Thunder (W) |
| 22/04/23 Australia NBL1 South Women | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) | 91-59 | Keilor Thunder (W) |
| 15/05/22 Australia NBL1 South Women | Keilor Thunder (W) | 60-93 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knox Raiders (W) | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1569 | 1324 | 0 |
| 2 | Eltham Wildcats (W) | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1642 | 1455 | 0 |
| 3 | Sandringham Sabres (W) | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1523 | 1327 | 0 |
| 4 | Casey Cavaliers (W) | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1733 | 1595 | 0 |
| 5 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1776 | 1587 | 0 |
| 6 | Keilor Thunder (W) | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1530 | 1425 | 0 |
| 7 | Waverley Falcons (W) | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1464 | 1356 | 0 |
| 8 | Melbourne Tigers (W) | 20 | 12 | 8 | 1554 | 1538 | 0 |
| 9 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1687 | 1612 | 0 |
| 10 | Ballarat Miners (W) | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1699 | 1616 | 0 |
| 11 | Dandenong Rangers (W) | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1580 | 1589 | 0 |
| 12 | Northern Force (W) | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1495 | 1570 | 0 |
| 13 | Nunawading Spectres (W) | 20 | 8 | 12 | 1534 | 1621 | 0 |
| 14 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) | 18 | 6 | 12 | 1367 | 1490 | 0 |
| 15 | Hobart Chargers (W) | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1472 | 1635 | 0 |
| 16 | Bendigo Braves (W) | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1487 | 1698 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United (W) | 20 | 5 | 15 | 1454 | 1704 | 0 |
| 18 | Frankston Blues (W) | 20 | 5 | 15 | 1379 | 1511 | 0 |
| 19 | Ringwood Hawks (W) | 19 | 3 | 16 | 1407 | 1699 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) | Keilor Thunder (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Dandenong Rangers (W) | 76-90 L | 90-95 L |
| Kilsyth Cobras (W) | 83-67 W | 92-71 W |
| Ringwood Hawks (W) | 76-42 W | 86-85 W |
| Casey Cavaliers (W) | 81-84 L | 49-59 L |
| Eltham Wildcats (W) | 90-97 L | 92-66 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Keilor Thunder (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mount Gambier Pioneers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Bendigo Braves (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
94-68 | W |
| 03/07 | Knox Raiders (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
64-95 | L |
| 28/06 | Nunawading Spectres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
74-77 | L |
| 27/06 | Dandenong Rangers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
76-90 | L |
| 19/06 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
83-67 | W |
| 14/06 | Geelong United (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
93-66 | W |
| 12/06 | Northern Force (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
109-90 | W |
| 29/05 | Ringwood Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
76-42 | W |
| 23/05 | Casey Cavaliers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
81-84 | L |
| 17/05 | Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
90-97 | L |
Keilor Thunder (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Casey Cavaliers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
49-59 | L |
| 27/06 | Ringwood Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
86-85 | W |
| 21/06 | Waverley Falcons (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
82-85 | L |
| 20/06 | Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
92-66 | W |
| 14/06 | Casey Cavaliers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
84-73 | W |
| 13/06 | Sandringham Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
82-63 | W |
| 05/06 | Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
81-73 | W |
| 30/05 | Melbourne Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
82-80 | W |
| 24/05 | Dandenong Rangers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
90-95 | L |
| 16/05 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
92-71 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) vs Keilor Thunder (W)?
Our model gives 56% to Mount Gambier Pioneers (W).
How many points are expected in Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) vs Keilor Thunder (W)?
The model estimates 159.1 total points (Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) 79.3 · Keilor Thunder (W) 79.8).
Over or under 151 points?
Recent history points to over 151 points (75%).