Basketball · Australia NBL1 South Women · 11/07, 09:00
Prediction: Hobart Chargers (W) vs Waverley Falcons (W)
Prediction summary
Estimated points
158.3Total
Hobart Chargers (W)73.9
Waverley Falcons (W)84.4
1X2
Hobart Chargers (W)
Waverley Falcons (W)
Recent form · 10 last
Hobart Chargers (W)
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Waverley Falcons (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hobart Chargers (W)
0–5
Waverley Falcons (W)
(5 last)
Model analysis
Estimated points158.3Hobart Chargers (W) 73.9 · Waverley Falcons (W) 84.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Waverley Falcons (W) (rating 1433 vs 1600).
- H2H favours Waverley Falcons (W): 5-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Hobart Chargers (W) | Waverley Falcons (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 78.6 / 86.6 | 80.6 / 70.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 75.4 / 84 | 82.2 / 69.6 |
| Est. result | 74 | 84 |
Est. total158.3
Line O/U156.5
Diff.1.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hobart Chargers (W) 0–0–5 Waverley Falcons (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Australia NBL1 South Women | Waverley Falcons (W) | 86-76 | Hobart Chargers (W) |
| 28/06/25 Australia NBL1 South Women | Waverley Falcons (W) | 88-82 | Hobart Chargers (W) |
| 13/04/24 Australia NBL1 South Women | Hobart Chargers (W) | 66-80 | Waverley Falcons (W) |
| 18/06/23 Australia NBL1 South Women | Waverley Falcons (W) | 67-58 | Hobart Chargers (W) |
| 29/07/22 Australia NBL1 South Women | Hobart Chargers (W) | 57-73 | Waverley Falcons (W) |
Standings · Australia NBL1 South Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Knox Raiders (W) | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1569 | 1324 | 0 |
| 2 | Eltham Wildcats (W) | 19 | 15 | 4 | 1642 | 1455 | 0 |
| 3 | Sandringham Sabres (W) | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1589 | 1401 | 0 |
| 4 | Casey Cavaliers (W) | 20 | 14 | 6 | 1733 | 1595 | 0 |
| 5 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1776 | 1587 | 0 |
| 6 | Keilor Thunder (W) | 20 | 13 | 7 | 1530 | 1425 | 0 |
| 7 | Waverley Falcons (W) | 19 | 12 | 7 | 1464 | 1356 | 0 |
| 8 | Melbourne Tigers (W) | 21 | 13 | 8 | 1628 | 1604 | 0 |
| 9 | Mount Gambier Pioneers (W) | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1687 | 1612 | 0 |
| 10 | Ballarat Miners (W) | 20 | 11 | 9 | 1699 | 1616 | 0 |
| 11 | Dandenong Rangers (W) | 20 | 9 | 11 | 1580 | 1589 | 0 |
| 12 | Northern Force (W) | 19 | 8 | 11 | 1495 | 1570 | 0 |
| 13 | Nunawading Spectres (W) | 21 | 8 | 13 | 1616 | 1715 | 0 |
| 14 | Kilsyth Cobras (W) | 19 | 7 | 12 | 1461 | 1572 | 0 |
| 15 | Hobart Chargers (W) | 19 | 6 | 13 | 1472 | 1635 | 0 |
| 16 | Bendigo Braves (W) | 19 | 5 | 14 | 1487 | 1698 | 0 |
| 17 | Geelong United (W) | 20 | 5 | 15 | 1454 | 1704 | 0 |
| 18 | Frankston Blues (W) | 20 | 5 | 15 | 1379 | 1511 | 0 |
| 19 | Ringwood Hawks (W) | 19 | 3 | 16 | 1407 | 1699 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hobart Chargers (W) | Waverley Falcons (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sandringham Sabres (W) | 71-80 L | 95-61 W |
| Frankston Blues (W) | 73-70 W | 66-61 W |
| Northern Force (W) | 64-74 L | 86-64 W |
| Ballarat Miners (W) | 98-94 W | 79-80 L |
| Diamond Valley Eagles (W) | 70-81 L | 71-62 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Waverley Falcons (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hobart Chargers (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Melbourne Tigers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
70-85 | L |
| 26/06 | Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
79-89 | L |
| 20/06 | Sandringham Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
71-80 | L |
| 14/06 | Ringwood Hawks (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
84-96 | L |
| 13/06 | Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
73-70 | W |
| 30/05 | Northern Force (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
64-74 | L |
| 24/05 | Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
98-94 | W |
| 23/05 | Eltham Wildcats (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
77-102 | L |
| 16/05 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
70-81 | L |
| 15/05 | Dandenong Rangers (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
100-95 | W |
Waverley Falcons (W)
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Northern Force (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
86-64 | W |
| 05/07 | Frankston Blues (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
66-61 | W |
| 03/07 | Sandringham Sabres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
95-61 | W |
| 27/06 | Ballarat Miners (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
79-80 | L |
| 21/06 | Keilor Thunder (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
85-82 | W |
| 20/06 | Knox Raiders (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
75-81 | L |
| 13/06 | Nunawading Spectres (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
86-78 | W |
| 08/06 | Diamond Valley Eagles (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
71-62 | W |
| 30/05 | Bendigo Braves (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
91-70 | W |
| 24/05 | Geelong United (W) Australia NBL1 South Women |
72-67 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hobart Chargers (W) vs Waverley Falcons (W)?
Our model gives 61% to Waverley Falcons (W).
How many points are expected in Hobart Chargers (W) vs Waverley Falcons (W)?
The model estimates 158.3 total points (Hobart Chargers (W) 73.9 · Waverley Falcons (W) 84.4).