Glossary · Expected goals (xG)

Expected goals (xG)

Expected goals estimate how many goals a team «should» score based on the quality of its chances or its attacking strength against the opponent's defence, beyond the actual result.

Example

A team that loses 0-1 but generates 2.3 xG has played better than the scoreline suggests.

See also
Poisson and Dixon-ColesOver/Under goals

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