Tennis · W15 Paris Qual · 15/11, 17:30
Prediction: Nikola Koprivova vs Alina Nesmianovych
Team pages: Nikola Koprivova · Alina Nesmianovych
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikola Koprivova
Alina Nesmianovych
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nikola Koprivova
2-8 (W-L)
Alina Nesmianovych
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Koprivova 1433 · Alina Nesmianovych 1531
| Nikola Koprivova | Alina Nesmianovych | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Nesmianovych (rating 1433 vs 1531).
- Alina Nesmianovych is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Alina Nesmianovych makes many double faults (9/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Koprivova | Alina Nesmianovych | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7-10 | 10-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 9 |
| 1st serve % | 52.6% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 46.6% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Koprivova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Liana Cammilleri W15 Karlovy Vary |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 06/10 | Alexandra Biot W15 Szekesfehervar |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 13/07 | Valentina Ivanov W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Alisa Vasileva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Milana Dejanovic W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/05 | Kaat Coppez W15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Aneta Kucmova W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Nela Silova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/05 | Sana Garakani UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/04 | Diana Marcinkevica UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alina Nesmianovych
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W15 Paris |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Carmen Lopez Martinez W15 Paris |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/11 | Capucine Dournes W15 Paris |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/11 | Kim Chiarello W15 Paris |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 26/10 | Lara Wasserfuhr W15 Essen |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 12/10 | Eva Iurina W15 Chisinau |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 07/10 | Sonia Erika Butuc Cerchez W15 Chisinau |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Luisa Schruff W15 Chisinau |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Sada Nahimana W35 Reims |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Gina Marie Dittmann W35 Reims |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Koprivova vs Alina Nesmianovych?
Our model gives 70% to Alina Nesmianovych, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.