Tennis · W15 Paris Qual · 15/11, 17:30
Prediction: Emma Mazzoni vs Olivia Gram
Team pages: Emma Mazzoni · Olivia Gram
Prediction summary
Winner
Emma Mazzoni
Olivia Gram
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Emma Mazzoni
4-6 (W-L)
Olivia Gram
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emma Mazzoni 1461 · Olivia Gram 1391
| Emma Mazzoni | Olivia Gram | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Mazzoni (rating 1461 vs 1391).
- Emma Mazzoni is in better form: 40% recent wins.
- Note: Olivia Gram makes many double faults (10.3/match).
Statistics
| Emma Mazzoni | Olivia Gram | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.2-10.3 | 6.7-12.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 10.3 |
| 1st serve % | 52.8% | 54.4% |
| Break % | 36.6% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emma Mazzoni
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Capucine Cedillo-Vayson de Pradenne W15 Paris |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 01/11 | Mirjana Jovanovic W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Dunja Maric W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Karyna Fiadosik W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Dunja Maric W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Cristina Pescucci W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 27/08 | Clarissa Blomqvist W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 25/08 | Martyna Zaremba W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Karolina Kozakova W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Danique Havermans W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Olivia Gram
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W75 Petange |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Marie Mattel W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Hanna Bougouffa W35 Reims |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Leila Fabbri W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/09 | Stefaniya Pushkar W75 Le Neubourg |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 06/09 | Hajar Crinebouch W15 Dijon |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Seda Baslilar W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Chloe Noel W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Laetitia Sarrazin W15 Nogent-sur-Marne |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Sevil Yuldasheva W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emma Mazzoni vs Olivia Gram?
Our model gives 51% to Emma Mazzoni, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.