Tennis · W15 Lincoln · 12/11, 17:00
Prediction: Kristina Paskauskas vs Katie Spencer
Team pages: Kristina Paskauskas · Katie Spencer
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Paskauskas
Katie Spencer
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Paskauskas
8-2 (W-L)
Katie Spencer
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Paskauskas 1557 · Katie Spencer 1515
| Kristina Paskauskas | Katie Spencer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 87% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Paskauskas (rating 1557 vs 1515).
- Note: Kristina Paskauskas makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Katie Spencer makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Paskauskas | Katie Spencer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8.7 | 11.1-12 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 54% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Paskauskas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Adla Lopez W15 Lincoln |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 28/10 | Bella Payne W35 Norman |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Emma Kamper W35 Norman |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Aishi Das W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Serafima Elizarova W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Coco Bosman W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Angella Okutoyi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/07 | Sara Milanese W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/07 | Dia Evtimova W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Katie Spencer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Lincoln |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Emma Rizzetto UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Conley Raidt UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Chloe Zigliara UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Reya Coe UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Akasha Urhobo ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Paskauskas vs Katie Spencer?
Our model gives 73% to Kristina Paskauskas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.