Tennis · W15 Lincoln · 12/11, 17:00
Prediction: Kelly Keller vs Merna Refaat
Team pages: Kelly Keller · Merna Refaat
Prediction summary
Winner
Kelly Keller
Merna Refaat
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Kelly Keller
4-6 (W-L)
Merna Refaat
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kelly Keller 1478 · Merna Refaat 1495
| Kelly Keller | Merna Refaat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kelly Keller makes many double faults (4.8/match).
- Note: Merna Refaat makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Kelly Keller | Merna Refaat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.1 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-10 | 8.9-9 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 50.2% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kelly Keller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Jenna Dean W15 Lincoln |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/10 | Scarlett Fagan W15 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Natalie Kha W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Marley Lambert UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Iryna Shymanovich UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Maria Camila Torres Murcia UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Anastasia Lizunova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Kamilla Bartone W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/09 | Andrea Roots W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
Merna Refaat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Katelynn Kock W15 Lincoln |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/11 | Edda Mamedova W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Julia Adams W35 Norman |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Olivia Lincer W50 Austin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Alexandra Vagramov W50 Austin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Nashville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Carlota Moreno W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Sophia Webster W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Alice Soulie W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/11 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Austin |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kelly Keller vs Merna Refaat?
Our model gives 67% to Merna Refaat, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.