Tennis · M25 Columbus · 12/11, 17:00
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs William Manning
Team pages: Alec Deckers · William Manning
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
William Manning
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
5-5 (W-L)
William Manning
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1574 · William Manning 1491
| Alec Deckers | William Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alec Deckers (rating 1574 vs 1491).
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 10 aces and 48.1% break avg.
- William Manning dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 59.8% break avg.
- Alec Deckers is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Alec Deckers makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | William Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.8 | 10.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 10 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 77% | 75.5% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 59.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Brandon Carpico M25 Columbus |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 05/11 | Connor Henry Van Schalkwyk M25 Harlingen |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 04/11 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Harlingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/10 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Felix Roussel M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Joshua Adamson M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/09 | Philip Henning M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Jake Fellows M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
William Manning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11 | Simon Caldwell M25 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/08 | Gavin Young Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Teodor Davidov M25 Louisville |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 14/07 | Mitchell Sheldon M25 Louisville |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 04/07 | Edward Winter Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Braden Shick M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Ezekiel Clark M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs William Manning?
Our model gives 63% to Alec Deckers, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.