Tennis · M25 Columbus · 12/11, 17:00

Prediction: Raphael Perot vs Michael Antonius

Team pages: Raphael Perot · Michael Antonius

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Raphael Perot Michael Antonius
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Raphael Perot 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLWLLW
Michael Antonius 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Raphael Perot 1525 · Michael Antonius 1497
Raphael PerotMichael Antonius
Our model54%46%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Raphael PerotMichael Antonius
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.3-1.3
Games (G-P)12-1013.2-11.6
Aces2.51
Double faults3.62.5
1st serve %65.7%69.1%
Break %44.4%45.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Raphael Perot

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Preston Stearns
M25 Columbus
2-0 12-8 W
03/11 Hunter Heck
M25 Harlingen
1-2 13-12 L
14/10 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
M25 Austin
1-2 11-14 L
29/09 Daniil Ostapenkov
Challenger Columbus · Hard
1-2 13-13 L
10/09 Robin Bertrand
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 1-12 L
08/09 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Cassis · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
06/09 Robin Bertrand
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-1 16-11 W
05/09 Alex Knaff
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-8 W
04/09 Alexandre Reco
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 13-7 W
03/09 Liam Branger
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-1 16-9 W

Michael Antonius

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Michael Bassem Sobhy
M25 Columbus
2-0 13-6 W
05/11 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
1-2 13-14 L
03/11 Abedallah Shelbayh
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
19/10 Albert Pedrico Kravtsov
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
1-2 18-17 L
18/10 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
14/10 Andrew Fenty
M25 Austin
0-2 7-12 L
27/09 Keaton Hance
Challenger Columbus · Hard
1-2 14-18 L
26/08 Kei Nishikori
US Open · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
25/08 Henry Searle
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
19/07 Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester
2-1 15-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Raphael Perot vs Michael Antonius?

Our model gives 50% to Raphael Perot, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.