Tennis · W50 Chihuahua · 11/11, 20:00

Prediction: Miriana Tona vs Julia Garcia

Team pages: Miriana Tona · Julia Garcia

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Miriana Tona Julia Garcia
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Miriana Tona 3-7 (W-L)
LLWLWLWLLL
Julia Garcia 5-5 (W-L)
WWWLLWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Miriana Tona 1498 · Julia Garcia 1512
Miriana TonaJulia Garcia
Our model48%52%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Miriana Tona makes many double faults (4.6/match).
  • Note: Julia Garcia makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Miriana TonaJulia Garcia
Win %50%60%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 50% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.21.2-0.9
Games (G-P)10.3-10.810-8.8
Aces21.2
Double faults4.65.2
1st serve %60.1%64.7%
Break %44.9%55.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Miriana Tona

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Chihuahua
2-1 19-16 W
04/11 Anastasia Tikhonova
W50 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 13-18 L
28/10 Ana Carmen Zamburek
W50 Morelia
0-2 7-12 L
28/10 Misa Malkin
W50 Morelia
2-0 12-4 W
24/09 Nahia Berecoechea
W50 Yecla
0-2 4-12 L
22/09 Ashley Lahey
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-5 W
07/09 Rositsa Dencheva
WTA Antalya · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/09 Denislava Glushkova
WTA Antalya · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
04/09 Ksenia Zaytseva
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
03/09 Anja Stankovic
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W

Julia Garcia

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/11 Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Chihuahua
2-1 15-14 W
03/11 Malaika Rapolu
W50 Huamantla · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
29/10 Malaika Rapolu
W50 Morelia
0-2 3-12 L
28/10 Judit Hernandez Miranda
W50 Morelia
2-0 12-6 W
28/10 Carolina Bohrer Martins
W50 Morelia
2-0 12-6 W
12/09 Carole Monnet
WTA Guadalajara · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
29/08 Celia Cervino Ruiz
W15 Torello · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
28/08 Stephanie Judith Visscher
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
27/08 Alice Gillan
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
25/08 Georgina Hays
W15 Torello · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Miriana Tona vs Julia Garcia?

Our model gives 51% to Miriana Tona, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.