Tennis · W50 Chihuahua · 11/11, 20:00
Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Demi Tran
Team pages: Malaika Rapolu · Demi Tran
Prediction summary
Winner
Malaika Rapolu
Demi Tran
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu
8-2 (W-L)
Demi Tran
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1617 · Demi Tran 1451
| Malaika Rapolu | Demi Tran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malaika Rapolu (rating 1617 vs 1451).
- Malaika Rapolu is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Note: Malaika Rapolu makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Malaika Rapolu | Demi Tran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (5) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-7.2 | 7.7-11.4 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 50.6% |
| Break % | 54% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Diletta Cherubini W50 Chihuahua |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/11 | Diletta Cherubini W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/11 | Victoria Rodriguez W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 06/11 | Sofia Johnson W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/11 | Ingrid C Millan W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Julia Garcia W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/10 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/10 | Cadence Brace W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Julia Garcia W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Maria Sholokhova W50 Morelia |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Demi Tran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Isabella Marton W50 Chihuahua |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 03/11 | Sofia Johnson W50 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Dasha Plekhanova WTA Queretaro · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Eleejah Inisan W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 13/10 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Tereza Krejcova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Reims |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Anna Siskova W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Sachia Vickery W75 Le Neubourg |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Demi Tran?
Our model gives 82% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.