Tennis · W15 Lincoln · 11/11, 20:30
Prediction: Catherine Rennard vs Eva Maria Ionescu
Team pages: Catherine Rennard · Eva Maria Ionescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Catherine Rennard
Eva Maria Ionescu
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Catherine Rennard
7-3 (W-L)
Eva Maria Ionescu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Catherine Rennard 1608 · Eva Maria Ionescu 1536
| Catherine Rennard | Eva Maria Ionescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Catherine Rennard (rating 1608 vs 1536).
- Catherine Rennard is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Catherine Rennard makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Catherine Rennard | Eva Maria Ionescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.8 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-9.9 | 10.2-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 58.6% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Catherine Rennard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Reya Coe W15 Lincoln |
2-1 | 10-6 | W |
| 05/10 | Alexis Nguyen W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Riley Crowder UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 16/07 | Bianca Ceroni UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Eva Maria Ionescu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Brooke Black W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Alexis Nguyen W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Maria Kononova W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Francesca Mattioli W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Emily Welker UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Mia Kupres UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 24/09 | Amy Gray UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Yoana Konstantinova UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Iva Sepa UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Violeta Martinez UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Catherine Rennard vs Eva Maria Ionescu?
Our model gives 54% to Eva Maria Ionescu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.