Tennis · W35 Weston · 11/11, 19:00

Prediction: Malwina Rowinska vs Dasha Ivanova

Team pages: Malwina Rowinska · Dasha Ivanova

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Malwina Rowinska Dasha Ivanova
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Malwina Rowinska 6-4 (W-L)
LWLLWWWWLW
Dasha Ivanova 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malwina Rowinska 1587 · Dasha Ivanova 1424
Malwina RowinskaDasha Ivanova
Our model72%28%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malwina Rowinska (rating 1587 vs 1424).
  • Malwina Rowinska is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Malwina Rowinska makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Malwina RowinskaDasha Ivanova
Win %80%20%
Win % · Clay 100% (1) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.90.8-1.6
Games (G-P)11.4-8.99.5-11.9
Aces1.11.7
Double faults5.51.9
1st serve %64.4%55%
Break %45.9%51.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Malwina Rowinska

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/11 Margaret Sohns
W35 Weston · ~Clay
2-1 10-9 W
31/10 Lani Chang
W15 Sumter · ~Hard
2-1 16-10 W
30/10 Scarlett Fagan
W15 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
29/10 Chiara Di Genova
W15 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
28/10 Anastasia Sysoeva
W15 Sumter · ~Hard
2-1 13-11 W
27/10 Jane Dunyon
W15 Sumter · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/07 Kolie Allen
W35 Santa Fe
0-2 4-12 L
21/07 Juliette Nask
W35 Santa Fe
2-1 13-9 W
15/07 Jennifer Jackson
W35 Dallas
1-2 9-15 L
14/07 Victoria Osuigwe
W35 Dallas
2-1 13-11 W

Dasha Ivanova

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Yara Bartashevich
W35 Orlando · ~Clay
1-2 8-13 L
04/11 Carolina Bohrer Martins
W35 Orlando · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/08 Aspen Schuman
W35 Southaven
0-2 11-14 L
28/07 Ayana Akli
W75 Lexington
0-2 5-12 L
23/07 Lizette Cabrera
W35 Saskatoon
0-2 7-13 L
16/07 Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
W35 Dallas
1-2 12-17 L
14/07 Ashley Lahey
W35 Dallas
2-0 8-2 W
10/06 Carolina Gomez
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
01/06 Ashton Bowers
W100 Sumter · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
09/05 Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
W35 Boca Raton
1-2 13-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malwina Rowinska vs Dasha Ivanova?

Our model gives 69% to Malwina Rowinska, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.