Tennis · W35 Weston · 12/11, 19:00
Prediction: Ashley Lahey vs Ilinca D Amariei
Team pages: Ashley Lahey · Ilinca D Amariei
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashley Lahey
Ilinca D Amariei
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Ashley Lahey
7-3 (W-L)
Ilinca D Amariei
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ashley Lahey
1–0
Ilinca D Amariei
(1 last)
- 30 Aug2-1 17-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashley Lahey 1612 · Ilinca D Amariei 1523
| Ashley Lahey | Ilinca D Amariei | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashley Lahey (rating 1612 vs 1523).
- Ashley Lahey is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ashley Lahey 1–0 Ilinca D Amariei (1).
Statistics
| Ashley Lahey | Ilinca D Amariei | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-8.9 | 10.7-7.6 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 65.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Ashley Lahey 1 – 0 Ilinca D Amariei (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ashley Lahey 1–0 Ilinca D Amariei
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 W15 Brasov | 2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashley Lahey
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Brooke Black W35 Weston · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/11 | Aya El Aouni W15 Hilton Head Island |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/11 | Jantje Tilbuerger W15 Hilton Head Island |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Lani Chang W15 Hilton Head Island |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/11 | Margaret Sohns W15 Hilton Head Island |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Allison Wang W15 Hilton Head Island |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/10 | Dana Guzman W35 Norman |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W35 Norman |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 29/10 | Jenna Defalco W35 Norman |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/10 | Nada Fouad W35 Norman |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Ilinca D Amariei
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Zaire Clarke W35 Weston · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 02/11 | Angelica Raggi W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/11 | Angelica Sara W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/10 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Stara Zagora |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 15/10 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Jazmin Ortenzi W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Nikol Ivanova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Beatris Spasova W50 Burgas |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/10 | Alexia-Shara Iancu W50 Burgas |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 25/09 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W50 Plovdiv |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashley Lahey vs Ilinca D Amariei?
Our model gives 60% to Ashley Lahey, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.