Tennis · W35 Weston · 12/11, 16:00
Prediction: Brooke Black vs Ashley Lahey
Team pages: Brooke Black · Ashley Lahey
Prediction summary
Winner
Brooke Black
Ashley Lahey
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Brooke Black
5-5 (W-L)
Ashley Lahey
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brooke Black 1535 · Ashley Lahey 1631
| Brooke Black | Ashley Lahey | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ashley Lahey (rating 1535 vs 1631).
Statistics
| Brooke Black | Ashley Lahey | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.3 | 13.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brooke Black
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Romina Ccuno W35 Weston · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/11 | Janae Preston W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Annika Penickova W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Eva Maria Ionescu W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Monika Ekstrand W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Savannah Dada Mascoll W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Naiktha Bains W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Emily Appleton W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ashley Lahey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Aya El Aouni W15 Hilton Head Island |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/11 | Jantje Tilbuerger W15 Hilton Head Island |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/11 | Lani Chang W15 Hilton Head Island |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/11 | Margaret Sohns W15 Hilton Head Island |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Allison Wang W15 Hilton Head Island |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/10 | Dana Guzman W35 Norman |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W35 Norman |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 29/10 | Jenna Defalco W35 Norman |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/10 | Nada Fouad W35 Norman |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Sloane Stephens W50 Austin |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brooke Black vs Ashley Lahey?
Our model gives 65% to Ashley Lahey, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.