Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 11/11, 09:00
Prediction: Michele Ribecai vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
Team pages: Michele Ribecai · Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Ribecai
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Ribecai
4-6 (W-L)
Carlo Alberto Caniato
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Ribecai 1533 · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1554
| Michele Ribecai | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Michele Ribecai | Carlo Alberto Caniato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10 | 13.1-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 76.4% |
| Break % | 51.2% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Ribecai
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Filippo Romano Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/10 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Max Houkes Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe Challenger Catania · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/10 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/11 | Kilian Feldbausch Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/11 | Philip Henning Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/10 | Marco Trungelliti Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 19/10 | Diogo Morais Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Ribecai vs Carlo Alberto Caniato?
Our model gives 55% to Carlo Alberto Caniato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.