Tennis · Challenger Hersonissos · 12/11, 09:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Carboni vs Ioannis Xilas
Team pages: Lorenzo Carboni · Ioannis Xilas
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Carboni
Ioannis Xilas
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Carboni
5-5 (W-L)
Ioannis Xilas
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Carboni
1–0
Ioannis Xilas
(1 last)
- 26 Jul2-1 16-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Carboni 1547 · Ioannis Xilas 1571
| Lorenzo Carboni | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Carboni 1–0 Ioannis Xilas (1).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Carboni | Ioannis Xilas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-9.8 | 12.5-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 66.3% |
| Break % | 49.5% | 56.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Lorenzo Carboni 1 – 0 Ioannis Xilas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Carboni 1–0 Ioannis Xilas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/23 M15 Monastir | 2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Carboni
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Remy Bertola Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/11 | Alexandre Reco Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/11 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Lorenzo Angelini M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Tommaso Compagnucci M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Alexander Chang M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Federico Iannaccone M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Sander Jong M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Ioannis Xilas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/11 | Andrej Nedic M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/11 | Michael Wright M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/11 | Vuk Krstajic M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/10 | Thando Longwe-Smit M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Odysseas Geladaris M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Amit Vales M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Hugo Car M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Carboni vs Ioannis Xilas?
Our model gives 56% to Ioannis Xilas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.