Tennis · W15 Lincoln · 11/11, 21:00
Prediction: Katie Spencer vs Emily Sartz-Lunde
Team pages: Emily Sartz-Lunde
Prediction summary
Winner
Katie Spencer
Emily Sartz-Lunde
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Katie Spencer
7-3 (W-L)
Emily Sartz-Lunde
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katie Spencer 1517 · Emily Sartz-Lunde 1528
| Katie Spencer | Emily Sartz-Lunde | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Katie Spencer makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Emily Sartz-Lunde makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Katie Spencer | Emily Sartz-Lunde | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-12.4 | 10.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 51.6% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katie Spencer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Emma Rizzetto UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Conley Raidt UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Chloe Zigliara UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/09 | Reya Coe UTR Pro Lincoln Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/12 | Akasha Urhobo ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/12 | Samantha Alicea ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Emily Sartz-Lunde
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Carolina Gomez W35 Norman |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Alice Ferlito W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Sara Milanese W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Nada Fouad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Sarah Victoria Majesty Nita W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katie Spencer vs Emily Sartz-Lunde?
Our model gives 60% to Emily Sartz-Lunde, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.