Tennis · M15 Naples · 10/11, 17:30
Prediction: Matthew Segura vs William Nolan
Team pages: Matthew Segura · William Nolan
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Segura
William Nolan
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Segura
7-3 (W-L)
William Nolan
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Segura 1532 · William Nolan 1466
| Matthew Segura | William Nolan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Segura (rating 1532 vs 1466).
- Note: Matthew Segura makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Matthew Segura | William Nolan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-10 | 8.3-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Segura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Clement Lemire M15 Hilton Head Island |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Gregoire Delattre M15 Hilton Head Island |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Aleksandar Mitric M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Joaquim De Almeida M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/05 | Vladislav Melnic M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Lucas Nunez M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/05 | Keaton Hance M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Joao Goncalves M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/04 | Jake Fellows M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/04 | Noble Renfrow M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
William Nolan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Roan Jones M25 Sheffield |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Conor Brady M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Joseph Newman-Billington M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Nikolaos Chatziavraam M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 16/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Johannus Monday M25 Southaven |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Arman Zamani M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/05 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Segura vs William Nolan?
Our model gives 60% to Matthew Segura, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.