Tennis · M15 Naples · 13/11, 16:30

Prediction: Lucca Liu vs Evan Bynoe

Team pages: Lucca Liu · Evan Bynoe

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Lucca Liu Evan Bynoe
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Lucca Liu 7-3 (W-L)
LLWLWWWWWW
Evan Bynoe 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lucca Liu 1582 · Evan Bynoe 1504
Lucca LiuEvan Bynoe
Our model61%39%
Market63%38%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucca Liu (rating 1582 vs 1504).

Statistics

Lucca LiuEvan Bynoe
Win %70%50%
Win % · Clay 100% (3) 100% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.61.1-1.1
Games (G-P)10.3-7.410.4-10.4
Aces1.71.7
Double faults3.23.8
1st serve %70.2%67.3%
Break %65.5%42.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lucca Liu

WWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/11 Fadi Bidan
M15 Naples · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
11/11 Davide Tortora
M15 Naples · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
10/11 Balthazar Orsanic
M15 Naples · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
30/10 Rafael De Alba
M15 Mazatlan
1-0 11-8 W
28/10 Ryan Colby
M15 Mazatlan
2-0 11-3 W
27/10 Stefan Cooper
M15 Mazatlan
2-0 12-4 W
07/10 Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
06/10 Sebastian Heinrich
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
29/09 Tuncay Duran
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
17/09 Ergi Kirkin
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-8 L

Evan Bynoe

LLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/11 Emilio Sanchez
M15 Naples · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
11/11 Joao Goncalves
M15 Naples · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
03/11 Antoine Genereux
M15 Trois-Rivieres
0-2 10-13 L
27/10 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Norman
0-2 9-13 L
01/10 Aryan Shah
M15 Fayetteville
1-2 11-14 L
29/09 Segundo Goity Zapico
M15 Fayetteville
2-0 12-6 W
25/09 William Jansen
M15 Columbia
0-2 6-12 L
24/09 Luis Felipe Miguel
M15 Columbia
2-1 15-14 W
23/09 Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Columbia
2-0 12-5 W
13/09 Timo Legout
Challenger Tiburon · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lucca Liu vs Evan Bynoe?

Our model gives 62% to Lucca Liu, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.