Tennis · M25 Columbus · 10/11, 20:00
Prediction: Michael Antonius vs Michael Bassem Sobhy
Team pages: Michael Antonius · Michael Bassem Sobhy
Prediction summary
Winner
Michael Antonius
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michael Antonius
4-6 (W-L)
Michael Bassem Sobhy
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michael Antonius 1507 · Michael Bassem Sobhy 1411
| Michael Antonius | Michael Bassem Sobhy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Michael Antonius (rating 1507 vs 1411).
- Michael Antonius is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Michael Antonius | Michael Bassem Sobhy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.6 | 9.3-12.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 61.4% |
| Break % | 43% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michael Antonius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/11 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/10 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrew Fenty M25 Austin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Keaton Hance Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Kei Nishikori US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Henry Searle US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/07 | Tristan McCormick M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 18/07 | Ilyas Milad Fahim M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Michael Bassem Sobhy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Eli Stephenson M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Tito Chavez M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Columbia |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 12/07 | Gabriele Crivellaro Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Adrian Oetzbach M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Saba Purtseladze M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 14/06 | Florian Broska Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/05 | Aaron Funk M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michael Antonius vs Michael Bassem Sobhy?
Our model gives 75% to Michael Antonius, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.